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Abstract

During the initial year of the COVID-19 pandemic, a disproportionate share of COVID-19–related deaths occurred among nursing home residents. Initial estimates of all-cause mortality rates also spiked in early and late 2020 before falling to near or below historical rates by early 2021. During the first 3 years of the pandemic, the US nursing home resident population also decreased by 18% (239 000 fewer residents) compared with pre-pandemic levels. After accounting for these population changes, the all-cause nursing home mortality rate has remained above pre-pandemic levels through the middle of 2023. The peak was in December 2020 at 5692 deaths per 100 000 residents, which was 19% higher than estimates not accounting for the population decrease.

Citation

Weiss, Max, Sharon-Lise T. Normand, David C. Grabowski, Deborah Blacker, Joseph P. Newhouse, and John Hsu. "All-cause nursing home mortality rates have remained above pre-pandemic levels after accounting for decline in occupancy." Health Affairs Scholar 2.11 (November 2024): qxae126.