ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series
ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Working Paper No. RWP21-005
March 2021
Abstract
We use the design of Medicare’s prescription drug benefit program to demonstrate three facts about the health consequences of cost-sharing. First, we show that an as-if-random increase of
33.6% in out-of-pocket price (11.0 percentage points (p.p.) change in coinsurance, or $10.40 per drug) causes a 22.6% drop in total drug consumption ($61.20), and a 32.7% increase in monthly
mortality (0.048 p.p.). Second, we trace this mortality effect to cutbacks in life-saving medicines like statins and antihypertensives, for which clinical trials show large mortality benefits. We find no indication that these reductions in demand affect only ‘low-value’ drugs; on the contrary, those at the highest risk of heart attack and stroke, who would benefit the most from statins and
antihypertensives, cut back more on these drugs than lower risk patients. Similar patterns exist for other drug–disease pairs, and irrespective of socioeconomic circumstance. Finally, we document
that when faced with complex, high-dimensional choice problems, patients respond in simple,
perverse ways. Specifically, price increases cause 18.0% more patients (2.8 p.p.) to fill no drugs,
regardless of how many drugs they had been on previously, or their health risks. This decision
mechanically results in larger absolute reductions in utilization for those on many drugs. We
conclude that cost-sharing schemes should be evaluated based on their overall impact on welfare,
which can be very different from the price elasticity of demand.
Citation
Chandra, Amitabh, Evan Flack, and Ziad Obermeyer. "The Health Costs of Cost-Sharing." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-005, March 2021.