Milbank Quarterly
Vol. 92, Issue 2, Pages 351–39
June 2014
Abstract
Medicare Part C, or Medicare Advantage (MA), now almost 30 years old, has generally been viewed as a policy
disappointment. Enrollment has vacillated but has never come close to
the penetration of managed care plans in the commercial insurance
market or in Medicaid, and because of payment policy decisions and
selection, the MA program is viewed as having added to cost rather than
saving funds for the Medicare program. Recent changes in Medicare
policy, including improved risk adjustment, however, may have changed
this picture. Methods This article summarizes findings from our group's
work evaluating MA's recent performance and investigating payment
options for improving its performance even more. We studied the
behavior of both beneficiaries and plans, as well as the effects of
Medicare policy. Findings Beneficiaries make 'mistakes' in their choice
of MA plan options that can be explained by behavioral economics. Few
beneficiaries make an active choice after they enroll in Medicare. The
high prevalence of 'zero-premium' plans signals inefficiency in plan
design and in the market's functioning. That is, Medicare premium
policies interfere with economically efficient choices. The adverse
selection problem, in which healthier, lower-cost beneficiaries tend to
join MA, appears much diminished. The available measures, while
limited, suggest that, on average, MA plans offer care of equal or
higher quality and for less cost than traditional Medicare (TM). In
counties, greater MA penetration appears to improve TM's performance.
Conclusions Medicare policies regarding lock-in provisions and risk
adjustment that were adopted in the mid-2000s have mitigated the
adverse selection problem previously plaguing MA. On average, MA plans
appear to offer higher value than TM, and positive spillovers from MA
into TM imply that reimbursement should not necessarily be neutral.
Policy changes in Medicare that reform the way that beneficiaries are
charged for MA plan membership are warranted to move more beneficiaries
into MA.
Citation
Newhouse, Joseph P., and Thomas G. McGuire. "How Successful Is Medicare Advantage?" Milbank Quarterly 92.2 (June 2014): 351–39.