December 2019
Abstract
It is well known that various forms of non-tariff trade barriers exist within a country. Empirically,
it is difficult to measure these barriers as they can take many forms. We take advantage of a
nationwide VAT rebate policy reform in China as a natural experiment to identify the existence
of these intranational barriers due to local protectionism and study the impact on exports and
exporting firms. As a result of shifting tax rebate burden, the reform leads to a greater incentive
of the provincial governments to block the domestic flow of non-local goods to local export
intermediaries. We develop an open-economy heterogenous firm model that incorporates multiple
domestic regions and multiple exporting technologies, including the intermediary sector.
Consistent with the model's predictions, we find that rising local protectionism leads to a
reduction in interprovincial trade, more "inward-looking" sourcing behavior of local
intermediaries, and a reduction in manufacturing exports. Analysis using micro firm-level data
further shows that private companies with greater baseline reliance on export intermediaries are
more adversely affected.
Citation
Bai, Jie, and Jiahua Liu. "The Impact of Intranational Trade Barriers on Exports: Evidence from a Nationwide VAT Rebate Reform in China." December 2019.