ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series
ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Working Paper No. RWP12-043
October 2012
Abstract
We use a unique data-set from Indonesia on what individuals know about the income
distribution in their village to test theories such as Jackson and Rogers (2007) that link information
aggregation in networks to the structure of the network. The observed patterns are consistent with a
basic diffusion model: more central individuals are better informed, and individuals are able to better
evaluate the poverty status of those to whom they are more socially proximate. To understand
what the theory predicts for cross-village patterns, we estimate a simple diffusion model using
within-village variation, simulate network-level diffusion under this model for the over 600 different
networks in our data, and use this simulated data to gauge what the simple diffusion model predicts
for the cross-village relationship between information diffusion and network characteristics (e.g.
clustering, density). The coefficients in these simulated regressions are generally consistent with
relationships suggested in previous theoretical work, even though in our setting formal analytical
predictions have not been derived. We then show that the qualitative predictions from the simulated
model largely match the actual data in the sense that we obtain similar results both when the
dependent variable is an empirical measure of the accuracy of a village’s aggregate information
and when it is the simulation outcome. Finally, we consider a real-world application to community
based targeting, where villagers chose which households should receive an anti-poverty program,
and show that networks with better diffusive properties (as predicted by our model) differentially
benefit from community based targeting policies.
Citation
Hanna, Rema, Vivi Alatas, Abhijit Banerjee, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, and Benjamin A. Olken. "Network Structure and the Aggregation of Information: Theory and Evidence from Indonesia." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series and CID Working Papers (RWP12-043 and 246), October 2012.