ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series
ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Working Paper No. RWP15-034
July 2015
Abstract
As shown in the 1930s by Hicks and Robinson the elasticity of substitution (s) is
a key parameter that captures whether capital and labor are gross complements or
substitutes. Establishing the magnitude of s is vital, not only for explaining
changes in the distribution of income between factors but also for undertaking
policy measures to influence it. Several papers have explained the recent
decline in labor’s share in income by claiming that s is greater than one and that
there has been capital deepening. This paper presents evidence that refutes these
claims. It shows that despite a rise in measured capital-labor ratios, laboraugmenting
technical change in the US has been sufficiently rapid that effective
capital-labor ratios have actually fallen in the sectors and industries that account
for the largest portion of the declining labor share in income since 1980. In
combination with estimates that corroborate the consensus in the literature that s
is less than 1, these declines in the effective capital ratio can account for much of
the recent fall in labor’s share in US income at both the aggregate and industry
level. Paradoxically, these results also suggest that increased capital formation
would raise labor’s share in income.
Citation
Lawrence, Robert Z. "Recent Declines in Labor’s Share in US Income: A Neoclassical Account." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-034, July 2015.