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Gavel and scales of justice on a green-felted desk in front of bookshelves.
Feature: How U.S. Courts Privilege Conservative Policy Outcomes

Maya Sen assesses the institutional and compositional features of U.S. federal courts that tend to bias them toward conservative policy outcomes.

Map of the united states with a pin in the midwest.
Feature: The U.S. Place-Based Policy Supply Chain

Dani Rodrik and Gordon Hanson document how vertical policy supply chains distribute resources from federal and state governments to recipients at the local level.

Political leader speaks into a microphone at a podium with an advisor standing behind her.
Feature: How Does Shaming Human Rights Violators Abroad Shape Attitudes at Home?

Lotem Bassan-Nygate theorizes that by shaming human rights violators abroad, governments can improve their image at home but may encourage tolerance toward certain domestic violations.

Two people sit at a desk in front of a laptop with rows of filing cabinets behind them.
Feature: Thinking (about Peace Science) in Time

Erica Chenoweth speaks to colleagues in the peace science community, reflecting on the world events that have shaped their scholarship and how researchers might think about the current geopolitical moment.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

The Anatomy of Ignorance: Diagnoses from Literature

Devjani, Roy, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Anatomy of Ignorance: Diagnoses from Literature." Routledge International Handbook of Ignorance Studies. Ed. Matthias Gross and Linsey McGoey. Routledge, 2015, 61-73.

Handling and Mishandling Estimative Probability: Likelihood, Confidence, and the Search for Bin Laden

Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Handling and Mishandling Estimative Probability: Likelihood, Confidence, and the Search for Bin Laden." Intelligence and National Security 30.1 (2015): 77-99.

Tips and Tells from Managers: How Analysts and the Market Read Between the Lines of Conference Calls

Druz, Marina, Alexander F. Wagner, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Tips and Tells from Managers: How Analysts and the Market Read Between the Lines of Conference Calls." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-006, February 2015.

Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty: When is Good News Bad?

Freeman, Mark C., Gernot Wagner, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty: When is Good News Bad?" ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-002, January 2015.

Why Assessing Estimative Accuracy is Feasible and Desirable

Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Why Assessing Estimative Accuracy is Feasible and Desirable." Intelligence and National Security (November 28, 2014).

The Relative Weights of Direct and Indirect Experiences in the Formation of Environmental Risk Beliefs

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "The Relative Weights of Direct and Indirect Experiences in the Formation of Environmental Risk Beliefs." Risk Analysis (September 5, 2014).

The Investment Returns of Nonprofit Organizations: Part 1, Tales from 990 Forms

Heutel, Garth, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Investment Returns of Nonprofit Organizations: Part 1, Tales from 990 Forms." Nonprofit Management and Leadership 25.19 (Fall 2014): 41-57.

The Investment Returns of Nonprofit Organizations: Part II, The Value of Focused Attention

Heutel, Garth, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Investment Returns of Nonprofit Organizations: Part II, The Value of Focused Attention." Nonprofit Management and Leadership 25.19 (Fall 2014): 59-75.

Rules and Standards when Compliance Costs are Private Information

Kotowski, Maciej H., David A. Weisbach, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Rules and Standards when Compliance Costs are Private Information." Journal of Legal Studies 43.S2 (June 2014): S297-S329.

Regulating Ambiguous Risks: The Less than Rational Regulation of Pharmaceuticals

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Regulating Ambiguous Risks: The Less than Rational Regulation of Pharmaceuticals." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP14-005, February 2014 (Revised January 2015).

Audits as Signals

Kotowski, Maciej, David A. Weisbach, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Audits as Signals." University of Chicago Law Review 81.1 (February 2014): 179-202.

Signaling with Audits: Mimicry, Wasteful Expenditures, and Non-Compliance in a Model of Tax Enforcement

Kotowski, Maciej, David Weisbach, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Signaling with Audits: Mimicry, Wasteful Expenditures, and Non-Compliance in a Model of Tax Enforcement." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP14-001, January 2014.

New Frontiers Beyond Risk and Uncertainty: Ignorance, Group Decision, and Unanticipated Themes, Preface 2

Zeckhauser, Richard. "New Frontiers Beyond Risk and Uncertainty: Ignorance, Group Decision, and Unanticipated Themes, Preface 2." Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty. Ed. W. Kip Viscusi and Mark Machina. Elsevier, 2013, xvii-xxix.

Jobs and Kids: Female Employment and Fertility in China

Fang, Hai, Karen N. Eggleston, John A. Rizzo, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Jobs and Kids: Female Employment and Fertility in China." IZA Journal of Labor and Development 2.12 (2013).

Ignorance: Lessons from the Laboratory of Literature

Roy, Devjani, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Ignorance: Lessons from the Laboratory of Literature." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-039, October 2013.

Audits as Signals

Kotowski, Maciej, David A. Weisbach, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Audits as Signals." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-026, September 2013.

Social Class and (Un)Ethical Behavior: A Framework, With Evidence From a Large Population Sample

Trautmann, Stefan T., Gijs van de Kuilen, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Social Class and (Un)Ethical Behavior: A Framework, With Evidence From a Large Population Sample." Perspectives on Psychological Science 8.5 (September 2013): 487-497.

Solomonic Separation: Risk Decisions as Productivity Indicators

Miller, Nolan, Alexander F. Wagner, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Solomonic Separation: Risk Decisions as Productivity Indicators." Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 46.3 (June 2013): 265-297.

The Decisions of Entrepreneurs and Their Agents: Revealed Levels of Risk Aversion and Betrayal Aversion

Dreber, Anna, David Rand, Nils Wernerfelt, Peter Worrell, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Decisions of Entrepreneurs and Their Agents: Revealed Levels of Risk Aversion and Betrayal Aversion." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-016, May 2013.

Social Class and (Un)ethical Behavior: A Framework, with Evidence from a Large Population Sample

Trautmann, Stefan T., Gijs van de Kuilen, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Social Class and (Un)ethical Behavior: A Framework, with Evidence from a Large Population Sample." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-004, March 2013.

Addressing Catastrophic Risks: Disparate Anatomies Require Tailored Therapies

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard Zeckhauser,. "Addressing Catastrophic Risks: Disparate Anatomies Require Tailored Therapies." Regulatory Breakdown: The Crisis of Confidence in U.S. Regulation. Ed. Cary Coglianese. University of Pennsylvania Press, 2012, 21-48.

Assessing Uncertainty in Intelligence

Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Assessing Uncertainty in Intelligence." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP12-027, June 2012.

Social Class and (Un)ethical Behavior: Evidence from a Large Population Sample

Trautmann, Stefan T., Gijs van de Kuilen, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Social Class and (Un)ethical Behavior: Evidence from a Large Population Sample." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP12-019, May 2012.

The Disgust-Promotes-Disposal Effect

Han, Seunghee, Jennifer S. Lerner, Richard Zeckhauser. "The Disgust-Promotes-Disposal Effect." Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 44.2 (April 2012): 101-113.

Climate Policy: Hard Problem, Soft Thinking

Wagner, Gernot, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Climate Policy: Hard Problem, Soft Thinking." Climatic Change 110.3/4 (February 2012): 507-521.

Deterring and Compensating Oil-Spill Catastrophes: The Need for Strict and Two-Tier Liability

W. Kip Viscusi, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Deterring and Compensating Oil-Spill Catastrophes: The Need for Strict and Two-Tier Liability." Vanderbilt Law Review 64.6 (2011): 1717-1765.

Addressing Catastrophic Risks: Disparate Anatomies Require Tailored Therapies

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Addressing Catastrophic Risks: Disparate Anatomies Require Tailored Therapies." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP11-045, November 2011.

The Challenge of Degraded Environments: How Common Biases Impair Effective Policy

Berger, Alan, Case Brown, Carolyn Kousky, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Challenge of Degraded Environments: How Common Biases Impair Effective Policy." Risk Analysis 31.9 (September 2011): 1423–1433.

The "CAPS" Prediction System and Stock Market Returns

Avery, Christopher, Judith Chevalier, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The "CAPS" Prediction System and Stock Market Returns." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP11-028, July 2011.

Deterring and Compensating Oil Spill Catastrophes: The Need for Strict and Two-Tier Liability

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Deterring and Compensating Oil Spill Catastrophes: The Need for Strict and Two-Tier Liability." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP11-025, July 2011.

The Behavior of Savings and Asset Prices When Preferences and Beliefs are Heterogeneous

Tran, Ngoc-Khanh, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Behavior of Savings and Asset Prices When Preferences and Beliefs are Heterogeneous." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP11-026, July 2011.

The Methodology of Normative Policy Analysis

Robert, Christopher, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Methodology of Normative Policy Analysis." Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 30.3 (Summer 2011): 613-643.

Why Smart Business Wants Strong Government

Donahue, John D., and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Why Smart Business Wants Strong Government." Bloomberg Government, May 24, 2011.

Beyond Big or Small Government

Donahue, John D., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Beyond Big or Small Government." National Journal, May 17, 2011.

Variable Temptations and Black Mark Reputations

Aperjis, Christina, Yali Miao, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Variable Temptations and Black Mark Reputations." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP11-020, May 2011.

Diagnosis: Origins of the Crisis: Comments

Zeckhauser, Richard. "Diagnosis: Origins of the Crisis: Comments." New Directions in Financial Services Regulation. Ed. Porter, Roger, Robert R. Glauber, and Thomas J. Healey. MIT Press, 2011.

The Online Laboratory: Conducting Experiments in a Real Labor Market

Horton, John J., David G. Rand, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Online Laboratory: Conducting Experiments in a Real Labor Market." Experimental Economics 14.3 (2011): 399-425.

Learn a Lesson in Collaboration from Green Bay's 'Cheeseheads'

Donahue, John D., and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Learn a Lesson in Collaboration from Green Bay's 'Cheeseheads'." CNN.com, February 05, 2011.

Collaborative Governance: Private Roles for Public Goals in Turbulent Times

Donahue, John D. and Richard J. Zeckhauser. Collaborative Governance: Private Roles for Public Goals in Turbulent Times. Princeton University Press, 2011.

The Methodology of Normative Policy Analysis

Robert, Christopher, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Methodology of Normative Policy Analysis." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP11-004, January 2011.

Understanding Movement Across Health Plans

Cutler, David, Bryan Lincoln, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Understanding Movement Across Health Plans." Journal of Health Economics 29.6 (December 2010): 821-838.

The Methodology of Positive Policy Analysis

Robert, Christopher, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Methodology of Positive Policy Analysis." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP10-041, September 2010.

Dopamine and Risk Choices in Different Domains: Findings Among Serious Tournament Bridge Players

Anna, Dreber, David G. Rand, Nils Wernerfelt, Justin R. Garcia, J. Koji Lum, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Dopamine and Risk Choices in Different Domains: Findings Among Serious Tournament Bridge Players." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP10-034, July 2010.

The Elasticity of Trust: How to Promote Trust in the Arab Middle East and the United States

Bohnet, Iris, Benedikt Herrmann, Mohamad Al-Ississ, Andrea Robbett, Khalid Al-Yahia, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Elasticity of Trust: How to Promote Trust in the Arab Middle East and the United States." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP10-031, June 2010.

Trust and the Reference Points for Trustworthiness in Gulf and Western Countries

Bohnet, Iris, Benedikt Herrmann, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Trust and the Reference Points for Trustworthiness in Gulf and Western Countries." Quarterly Journal of Economics 125.2 (May 2010): 811-828.

Causes of the Financial Crisis: Many Responsible Parties

Zeckhauser, Richard. "Causes of the Financial Crisis: Many Responsible Parties." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP10-016, April 2010.

The Online Laboratory: Conducting Experiments in a Real Labor Market

Horton, John J., David G. Rand, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "The Online Laboratory: Conducting Experiments in a Real Labor Market." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP10-017, April 2010.

Dopamine and Risk Preferences in Different Domains

Dreber, Anna, David G. Rand, Justin R. Garcia, Nils Wernerfelt, J. Koji Lum, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Dopamine and Risk Preferences in Different Domains." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP10-012, April 2010.

Female Employment and Fertility in Rural China

Fang, Hai, Karen N. Eggleston, John A. Rizzo, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Female Employment and Fertility in Rural China." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP10-011 and NBER Working Papers 15886, March 2010.

Responding to Threats of Climate Change Mega-Catastrophes

Kousky, Carolyn, Olga Rostapshova, Michael Toman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Responding to Threats of Climate Change Mega-Catastrophes." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP10-008, March 2010.