vlog

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Elmendorf, Doug. "House to vote on budget to prevent shutdown." LiveNOW on FOX, March 11, 2025.
Elmendorf, Doug. "What does the House-passed budget resolution mean?" Harvard Kennedy School, March 5, 2025.
Dynan, Karen, and Doug Elmendorf. "Don’t look to efficiency for big deficit reductions." What awaits the Department of Government Efficiency? vlog experts on prospects for a radical new initiative, January 15, 2025.
Summers, Lawrence H., Marijn A. Bolhuis, and Judd Cramer. "The True Cost of Living." Finance & Development. December 2024.
Furman, Jason. "Eight Questions—and Some Answers—on the US Fiscal Situation." Strengthening America’s Economic Dynamism. Ed. Melissa S. Kearney and Luke Pardue. Washington, D.C.: Aspen Institute, 2024, 136-165.
Lamby, Lucas, Sophia Henn, Tim O’Brien, and Ricardo Hausmann. "Diagnosing Wyoming's Workforce Challenges." Growth Lab Working Paper Series, July 2024.
Farah-Yacoub, Juan P., Clemens M. Graf von Luckner, and Carmen M. Reinhart. "The Social Costs of Sovereign Default." NBER Working Paper Series, June 2024.
Obolensky, Marguerite, Marco Tabellini, and Charles Taylor. "Homeward Bound: How Migrants Seek Out Familiar Climates." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP24-001, January 2024.
Elmendorf, Douglas, and Heidi Williams. "How Does Accounting for Population Change Affect Estimates of the Effect of Immigration Policies on the Federal Budget?" Penn Wharton Budget Model, January 18, 2024.
Obolensky, Marguerite, Marco Tabellini, and Charles Taylor. "Homeward Bound: How Migrants Seek Out Familiar Climates." NBER Working Paper Series, January 2024.
Dynan, Karen. "Advanced economies will experience subdued growth, outlook for emerging markets is varied." Peterson Institute for International Economics (September 29, 2023).
Dynan, Karen. "PIIE projects global economy poised for soft landing." Peterson Institute for International Economics (September 26, 2023).
Elmendorf, Douglas, and Heidi L. Williams. "A serious case for dynamic scoring." Slow Boring, August 28, 2023.
Olaberria, Eduardo, and Carmen Reinhart. "The Reversal Problem: Development Going Backwards." Credibility of Emerging Markets, Foreign Investors' Risk Perceptions, and Capital Flows. Ed. Álvaro Aguirre, Andrés Fernández, and Sebnem Kalemli-Özcan. Central Bank of Chile, 2023, 301-314.
Taylor, Charles A. "Irrigation and Climate Change: Long-run Adaptation and its Externalities." March 2023.
Summers, Lawrence H. "Three Key Issues for Post-pandemic Monetary Policy." Cato Policy Report, November/December 2022.
Deep, Akash, Mojahedul Islam Nayyer, and Thillai Rajan A. "The performance of PPP and publicly procured road projects: evidence from India." Assessing the Performance Advantage of Public-Private Partnerships. Ed. Stefan Verweij, Ingmar van Meerkerk, and Carter Casady. Edward Elgar, 2022, 156-183.
Scherer, F.M. "Chapter 13: Economists' analyses of technological change." Elgar Encyclopedia on the Economics of Knowledge and Innovation. Ed. Cristiano Antonelli. Elgar, 2022, 115-119.
Müller, Ulrich K., James H. Stock, and Mark W. Watson. "An Econometric Model of International Growth Dynamics for Long-Horizon Forecasting." The Review of Economics and Statistics 104.5 (September 2022): 857-876.
Stavins, Robert N., and Gernot Wagner. "Martin Weitzman: A Gift That Keeps on Giving." Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists 9.5 (September 2022): 843-850.
Bolhuis, Marijn A., Judd N. L. Cramer, and Lawrence H. Summers. "Comparing Past and Present Inflation." Review of Finance 26.5 (September 2022): 1073-1100.
Bolhuis, Marijn A., Judd N. L. Cramer, and Lawrence H. Summers. "The Coming Rise in Residential Inflation." Review of Finance 26.5 (September 2022): 1051-1072.
Kose, M. Ayhan, Franziska L. Ohnsorge, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "The Aftermath of Debt Surges." Annual Review of Economics 14.1 (August 2022): 637-663.
Blanchard, Olivier, Alex Domash, and Lawrence Summers. "Bad news for the Fed from the Beveridge space." Peterson Institute for International Economics Policy Briefs, July 2022.
Lewis, Daniel J., Karel Mertens, James H. Stock, and Mihir Trivedi. "Measuring real activity using a weekly economic index." Journal of Applied Econometrics 37.4 (June/July 2022): 667-687.
Horn, Sebastian, Carmen Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "Hidden Defaults." American Economics Papers and Proceedings 112 (May 2022): 531-535.
Olaberria, Eduardo, and Carmen Reinhart. "The Reversal Problem: Development Going Backwards: Development Going Backwards." Let's Talk Development, The World Bank, April 15, 2022.
Graf Von Luckner, Clemens, Kathryn Holston, and Carmen Reinhart. "Is Another Food Crisis Unfolding?" Let’s Talk Development, The World Bank, April 15, 2022.
Domash, Alex, and Lawrence H. Summers. "A labor market view on the risks of a U.S. hard landing." NBER Working Paper Series, April 2022.
Pazarbasioglu, Ceyla, and Carmen M. Reinhart. "Shining a Light on Debt." Finance & Development 59.001 (March 2022): 10-13.
Reinhart, Carmen M. "From Health Crisis to Financial Distress." IMF Economic Review 70.1 (March 2022): 4-31.
Furman, Jason. "The Economic Consequences of the Ukraine War." Project Syndicate. February 25, 2022.
Horn, Sebastian, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "Hidden Defaults." World Bank, Policy Research Working Paper Series, February 2022.
Sarin, Natasha, Lawrence Summers, Owen Zidar, and Eric Zwick. "Rethinking How We Score Capital Gains Tax Reform." Tax Policy and the Economy 36 (2022): 1-33.
Taylor, Charles A., and James Rising. "Tipping point dynamics in global land use." Environmental Research Letters 16.12 (December 2021): 125012.
Schlenker, Wolfram, and Charles A. Taylor. "Market expectations of a warming climate." Journal of Financial Economics 142.2 (November 2021): 627-640.
Frankel, Jeffrey A., and Randy Kotti. "The Virus, Vaccination, and Voting." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-021, August 2021.
Anderson, Weston, Charles A. Taylor, Sonali McDermid, Elisabeth Ilboudo-Nébié, Richard Seager, Wolfram Schlenker, Fabien Cottier, Alex de Sherbinin, Dara Mendeloff, and Kelsey Markey. "Violent conflict exacerbated drought-related food insecurity between 2009 and 2019 in sub-Saharan Africa." Nature Food 2.8 (August 2021): 603-615.
Jorgenson, Dale W., and Khuong M. Vu. "The G20 and the World Economy: Performance and Prospects." Journal of Policy Modeling 43.4 (July/August 2021): 770-782.
Frankel, Jeffrey A. "America’s False Imbalance Syndrome." The Project Syndicate, June 2021.
Furman, Jason, Melissa Kearney, and Wilson Powell III. "How Much Have Childcare Challenges Slowed the US Jobs Market Recovery?" Peterson Institute for International Economics, May 2021.
Frankel, Jeffrey A. "What Three Economists Taught Us About Currency Regimes." The Project Syndicate, April 2021.
Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Biden Administration’s Sensible Stimulus." The Project Syndicate, March 2021.
Avery, Christopher, William Bossert, Adam Clark, Glenn Ellison, and Sara Fisher Ellison. "An Economist’s Guide to Epidemiology Models of Infectious Disease." Journal of Economic Perspectives 34.4 (Fall 2020): 79-104.
Lee, Henry, and Abigail Mayer. "The Future of Carbon Offset Markets." Environment and Natural Resources Program, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, October 22, 2020.
Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Price of Gold Should Not Determine US Monetary Policy." The Guardian, August 2020.
Frankel, Jeffrey A. "The Pandemic Pain of Emerging Markets." Project Syndicate, July 2020.
Dynan, Karen, and Douglas Elmendorf. "National Fiscal Policies to Fight Recessions in US States." AEA Papers and Proceedings 110 (May 2020): 131-136.
De Blasio, Nicola, and Henry Lee. "Saudi Arabia’s Energy Infrastructure Under Attack. What’s Next?" National Interest, October 6, 2019.
Rajan, Thillai, and Akash Deep. "More highways should be built by States." The Hindu Business Line. September 13, 2019.