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Gavel and scales of justice on a green-felted desk in front of bookshelves.
Feature: How U.S. Courts Privilege Conservative Policy Outcomes

Maya Sen assesses the institutional and compositional features of U.S. federal courts that tend to bias them toward conservative policy outcomes.

Map of the united states with a pin in the midwest.
Feature: The U.S. Place-Based Policy Supply Chain

Dani Rodrik and Gordon Hanson document how vertical policy supply chains distribute resources from federal and state governments to recipients at the local level.

Political leader speaks into a microphone at a podium with an advisor standing behind her.
Feature: How Does Shaming Human Rights Violators Abroad Shape Attitudes at Home?

Lotem Bassan-Nygate theorizes that by shaming human rights violators abroad, governments can improve their image at home but may encourage tolerance toward certain domestic violations.

Two people sit at a desk in front of a laptop with rows of filing cabinets behind them.
Feature: Thinking (about Peace Science) in Time

Erica Chenoweth speaks to colleagues in the peace science community, reflecting on the world events that have shaped their scholarship and how researchers might think about the current geopolitical moment.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

China Wants to Run Your Internet

Campanella, Edoardo, and John Haigh. "China Wants to Run Your Internet." Foreign Policy. August 25, 2023.

China’s overseas lending and the war in Ukraine

Horn, Sebastian, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "China’s overseas lending and the war in Ukraine." Global Economic Consequences of the War in Ukraine: Sanctions, Supply Chains and Sustainability. Ed. Luis Garicano, Dominic Rohner, and Beatrice Weder di Mauro. CEPR Press, September 2022.

The Economic Consequences of the Ukraine War

Furman, Jason. "The Economic Consequences of the Ukraine War." Project Syndicate. February 25, 2022.

Hidden Defaults

Horn, Sebastian, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "Hidden Defaults." World Bank, Policy Research Working Paper Series, February 2022.

The Long-Term Costs of United States Care for Veterans of the Afghanistan and Iraq Wars

Bilmes, Linda J. "The Long-Term Costs of United States Care for Veterans of the Afghanistan and Iraq Wars." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-024, September 2021.

Violent conflict exacerbated drought-related food insecurity between 2009 and 2019 in sub-Saharan Africa

Anderson, Weston, Charles A. Taylor, Sonali McDermid, Elisabeth Ilboudo-Nébié, Richard Seager, Wolfram Schlenker, Fabien Cottier, Alex de Sherbinin, Dara Mendeloff, and Kelsey Markey. "Violent conflict exacerbated drought-related food insecurity between 2009 and 2019 in sub-Saharan Africa." Nature Food 2.8 (August 2021): 603-615.

The Dragon, the Eagle, and the Private Sector: Public-Private Collaboration in China and the United States

Eggleston, Karen, John D. Donahue, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. The Dragon, the Eagle, and the Private Sector: Public-Private Collaboration in China and the United States. Cambridge University Press, 2021.

Rolling the Dice in the Corridors of Power: William Nordhaus’s Impacts on Climate Change Policy

Aldy, Joseph, and Robert N. Stavins. "Rolling the Dice in the Corridors of Power: William Nordhaus’s Impacts on Climate Change Policy." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-022, July 2020.

Saudi Arabia’s Energy Infrastructure Under Attack. What’s Next?

De Blasio, Nicola, and Henry Lee. "Saudi Arabia’s Energy Infrastructure Under Attack. What’s Next?" National Interest, October 6, 2019.

Improving the Accuracy of Geopolitical Risk Assessments

Mellers, Barbara, Philip E. Tetlock, Joshua Baker, Jeffrey Friedman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Improving the Accuracy of Geopolitical Risk Assessments." The Future of Risk Management. Ed. Howard Kunreuther, Robert J. Meyer, and Erwann O. Michel-Kerjan. University of Pennsylvania Press, July 2019, 1-28.

Analytic Confidence and Political Decision Making: Theoretical Principles and Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals

Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Analytic Confidence and Political Decision Making: Theoretical Principles and Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals." Political Psychology 39.5 (October 2018): 1069-1087.

Trump's Currency Confusion Continues

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Trump's Currency Confusion Continues." The Guardian, September 21, 2018.

The Fiscal Opacity Cycle: How America Hid the Costs of the Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan

Bilmes, Linda J. "The Fiscal Opacity Cycle: How America Hid the Costs of the Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan." Toward A Just Society: Joseph Stiglitz and Twenty-First Century Economics. Ed. Martin Guzman. Columbia University Press, 2018, 457-478.

Back Channel Negotiations and Dangerous Waiting

Mukharji, Aroop, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Back Channel Negotiations and Dangerous Waiting." Negotiation Journal (July 2018): 297-307.

Pandemic Risk: How Large Are the Expected Losses?

Fan, Victoria Y., Dean T. Jamison, and Lawrence H. Summers. "Pandemic Risk: How Large Are the Expected Losses?" Bulletin of the World Health Organization 96.2 (February 2018): 129-134.

Collective Action in an Asymmetric World

Chen, Cuicui, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Collective Action in an Asymmetric World." Journal of Public Economics 158 (February 2018): 103-112.

Confronting an Enemy with Unknown Preferences: Deterrer or Provocateur?

Jelnov, Artyom, Yair Tauman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Confronting an Enemy with Unknown Preferences: Deterrer or Provocateur?" vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-006, January 2018.

Linking Heterogeneous Climate Policies (Consistent with the Paris Agreement)

Mehling, Michael A.; Metcalf, Gilbert E.; and Stavins, Robert N. "Linking Heterogeneous Climate Policies (Consistent with the Paris Agreement)." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP17-042, September 2017.

Recollection Bias and Its Underpinnings: Lessons from Terrorism-Risk Assessments

Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Recollection Bias and Its Underpinnings: Lessons from Terrorism-Risk Assessments." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP15-066, October 2015.

Handling and Mishandling Estimative Probability: Likelihood, Confidence, and the Search for Bin Laden

Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Handling and Mishandling Estimative Probability: Likelihood, Confidence, and the Search for Bin Laden." Intelligence and National Security 30.1 (2015): 77-99.

Why Assessing Estimative Accuracy is Feasible and Desirable

Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Why Assessing Estimative Accuracy is Feasible and Desirable." Intelligence and National Security (November 28, 2014).

Venezuela's Economic Underperformance

Reinhart, Carmen, and Kenneth Rogoff. "Venezuela's Economic Underperformance." Project Syndicate, October 13, 2014.

Global Governance and “New Governance Theory”: Lessons from Business and Human Rights

Ruggie, John Gerard. "Global Governance and “New Governance Theory”: Lessons from Business and Human Rights." Global Governance 20.1 (January-March 2014): 5-17.

Testimony in Support of a National Veterans' Trust Fund

Bilmes, Linda J. "Testimony in Support of a National Veterans' Trust Fund." Veterans Affairs Committee, U.S. House of Representatives, September 18, 2013.

National Security Warrants Slowing Domestic Oil Depletion, Not Accelerating It

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "National Security Warrants Slowing Domestic Oil Depletion, Not Accelerating It." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series, August 2013 (first draft).

The Financial Legacy of Iraq and Afghanistan: How Wartime Spending Decisions Will Constrain Future National Security Budgets

Bilmes, Linda J. "The Financial Legacy of Iraq and Afghanistan: How Wartime Spending Decisions Will Constrain Future National Security Budgets." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-006, March 2013.

Climate Negotiators Create an Opportunity for Scholars

Aldy, Joseph, and Robert N. Stavins. "Climate Negotiators Create an Opportunity for Scholars." Science 337.6098 (August 2012): 1043-1044.

Aung San Suu Kyi Signals Change in Burma, but Investors Should Proceed with Caution

Ruggie, John Gerard. "Aung San Suu Kyi Signals Change in Burma, but Investors Should Proceed with Caution." Christian Science Monitor, June 19, 2012.

Assessing Uncertainty in Intelligence

Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Assessing Uncertainty in Intelligence." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP12-027, June 2012.

Designing a Bretton Woods Institution to Address Climate Change

Aldy, Joseph. "Designing a Bretton Woods Institution to Address Climate Change." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP12-017, May 2012.