Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.
Faculty Publications
Arslan, Cansin, Edward H. Chang, Siri Chilazi, Iris Bohnet, and Oliver P. Hauser. "Behaviorally Designed Training Leads to More Diverse Hiring." Science 387.6732 (24 Jan 2025): 364-366.
Jamison, Dean T., Lawrence H. Summers, et al. "Global health 2050: the path to halving premature death by mid-century." The Lancet 404.10462 (October 2024): 1561-1614.
Armona, Luis, and Adam M. Rosenberg. "Measuring the Market for Legal Firearms." AEA Papers and Proceedings 114 (May 2024): 52-57.
Furman, Jason. "Starting health reform from here." Journal of Policy Analysis and Management (April 30, 2024).
Furman, Jason. "Which direction should we head to get to our North Star?" Journal of Policy Analysis and Management (April 30, 2024).
Avery, Christopher, Frederick Chen, and David McAdams. "Steady-State Social Distancing and Vaccination." American Economic Review: Insights 6.1 (March 2024): 1-19.
Ma, Siyu, Yair Tauman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Deterrence games and the disruption of information." International Journal of Game Theory 53 (March 2024): 261-287.
Campanella, Edoardo, and John Haigh. "The Battle for the Internet." Survival 66.1 (2024): 69-84.
Dynan, Karen. "Advanced economies will experience subdued growth, outlook for emerging markets is varied." Peterson Institute for International Economics (September 29, 2023).
Dynan, Karen. "PIIE projects global economy poised for soft landing." Peterson Institute for International Economics (September 26, 2023).
Graf von Luckner, Clemens, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth Rogoff. "Decrypting new age international capital flows." Journal of Monetary Economics 138 (September 2023): 104-122.
Armona, Luis. "Online Social Network Effects in Labor Markets: Evidence from Facebook's Entry to College Campuses." Review of Economics and Statistics (July 24, 2023): 1-47.
Aldy, Joseph, Todd D. Gerarden, and Richard L. Sweeney. "Investment versus Output Subsidies: Implications of Alternative Incentives for Wind Energy." Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists 10.4 (July 2023): 981-1018.
Nesser, Hannah, Daniel J. Jacob, Joannes D. Maasakkers, Alba Lorente, Zichong Chen, Xiao Lu, Lu Shen, Zhen Qu, Melissa P. Sulprizio, Margaux Winter, Shuang Ma, A. Anthony Bloom, John R. Worden, Robert N. Stavins, and Cynthia A. Randles. "High-resolution U.S. methane emissions inferred from an inversion of 2019 TROPOMI satellite data: contributions from individual states, urban areas, and landfills." EGUsphere [preprint] (June 13, 2023).
Aldy, Joseph, Patrick Bolton, Marcin Kacperczyk, and Zachery M. Halem. "Behind schedule: The corporate effort to fulfill climate obligations." Journal of Applied Corporate Finance 35.2 (Spring 2023): 26-34.
Chen, Zichong, Daniel J. Jacob, Ritesh Gautam, Mark Omara, Robert N. Stavins, Robert C. Stowe, Hannah Nesser, Melissa P. Sulprizio, Alba Lorente, Daniel J. Varon, Xiao Lu, Lu Shen, Zhen Qu, Drew C. Pendergrass, and Sarah Hancock. "Satellite quantification of methane emissions and oil–gas methane intensities from individual countries in the Middle East and North Africa: implications for climate action." Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 23.10 (31 May 2023): 5945-5967.
Stansbury, Anna, Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, and Karen Dynan. "Gender gaps in South Korea’s labour market: children explain most of the gender employment gap, but little of the gender wage gap." Applied Economics Letters (May 3, 2023).
Horn, Sebastian, Bradley C. Parks, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "Debt Distress on China's Belt and Road." AEA Papers and Proceedings 113 (May 2023): 131-34.
Kevin Rennert, Frank Errickson, Brian C. Prest, Lisa Rennels, Richard G. Newell, William Pizer, Cora Kingdon, Jordan Wingenroth, Roger Cooke, Bryan Parthum, David Smith, Kevin Cromar, Delavane Diaz, Frances C. Moore, Ulrich K. Müller, Richard J. Plevin, Adrian E. Raftery, Hana Å evcÃková, Hannah Sheets, James H. Stock, Tammy Tan, Mark Watson, Tony E. Wong, and David Anthoff. "Comprehensive evidence implies a higher social cost of CO2." Nature 610 (2022): 687-692.
Stavins, Robert N., and Gernot Wagner. "Martin Weitzman: A Gift That Keeps on Giving." Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists 9.5 (September 2022): 843-850.
Müller, Ulrich K., James H. Stock, and Mark W. Watson. "An Econometric Model of International Growth Dynamics for Long-Horizon Forecasting." The Review of Economics and Statistics 104.5 (September 2022): 857-876.
Aldy, Joseph E., and Sarah Armitage. "The Welfare Implications of Carbon Price Certainty." Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists 9.5 (September 2022): 843-1046.
Aldy, Joseph E., Dallas Burtraw, Carolyn Fischer, Meredith Fowlie, Roberton C. Williams III, and Maureen L. Cropper. "How is the U.S. Pricing Carbon? How Could We Price Carbon?" Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis 13.3 (Fall 2022): 310-334.
Bolhuis, Marijn A., Judd N. L. Cramer, and Lawrence H. Summers. "Comparing Past and Present Inflation." Review of Finance 26.5 (September 2022): 1073-1100.
Bolhuis, Marijn A., Judd N. L. Cramer, and Lawrence H. Summers. "The Coming Rise in Residential Inflation." Review of Finance 26.5 (September 2022): 1051-1072.
Kose, M. Ayhan, Franziska L. Ohnsorge, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "The Aftermath of Debt Surges." Annual Review of Economics 14.1 (August 2022): 637-663.
Andrianesis, Panagiotis, Dimitris J Bertsimas, Michael Caramanis, and William W. Hogan. "Computation of Convex Hull Prices in Electricity Markets with Non-Convexities using Dantzig-Wolfe Decomposition." IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 37.4 (July 2022): 2578-2589.
Meckling, Jonas, Joseph E. Aldy, and Matthew J. Kotchen, Sanya Carley, Daniel C. Esty, Peter A. Raymond, Bella Tonkonogy, Charles Harper, Gillian Sawyer, and Julia Sweatman. "Busting the myths around public investment in clean energy." Nature Energy 7 (July 2022): 563–565.
Avery, Christopher and Joshua Goodman. "Ability signals and rigorous coursework: Evidence from AP Calculus participation." Economics of Education Review 88 (June 2022): 102237.
Lewis, Daniel J., Karel Mertens, James H. Stock, and Mihir Trivedi. "Measuring real activity using a weekly economic index." Journal of Applied Econometrics 37.4 (June/July 2022): 667-687.
Horn, Sebastian, Carmen Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "Hidden Defaults." American Economics Papers and Proceedings 112 (May 2022): 531-535.
Furman, Jason. "Why Did (Almost) No One See the Inflation Coming?" Intereconomics 57 (2022): 79-86.
Taylor, Charles A., and Hannah Druckenmiller. "Wetlands, Flooding, and the Clean Water Act." American Economic Review 112.4 (April 2022): 1334-1363.
Pazarbasioglu, Ceyla, and Carmen M. Reinhart. "Shining a Light on Debt." Finance & Development 59.001 (March 2022): 10-13.
Reinhart, Carmen M. "From Health Crisis to Financial Distress." IMF Economic Review 70.1 (March 2022): 4-31.
Hogan, William W. "Electricity Market Design and Zero-Marginal Cost Generation." Current Sustainable/Renewable Energy Reports 9 (March 2022): 15-26.
Stavins, Robert N. "The Relative Merits of Carbon Pricing Instruments: Taxes versus Trading." Review of Environmental Economics and Policy 16.1 (Winter 2022): 62-82.
Sarin, Natasha, Lawrence Summers, Owen Zidar, and Eric Zwick. "Rethinking How We Score Capital Gains Tax Reform." Tax Policy and the Economy 36 (2022): 1-33.
Okonjo-Iweala, Ngozi, Tharman Shanmugaratnam, and Lawrence H. Summers. "Rethinking Multilateralism for a Pandemic Era." Finance & Development (December 2021): 4-9.
Taylor, Charles A., and James Rising. "Tipping point dynamics in global land use." Environmental Research Letters 16.12 (December 2021): 125012.
Joseph E. Aldy, Tyler Felgenhauer, William A. Pizer, Massimo Tavoni, Mariia Belaia, Mark E. Borsuk, Arunabha Ghosh, Garth Heutel, Daniel Heyen, Joshua Horton, David Keith, Christine Merk, Juan Moreno-Cruz, Jesse L. Reynolds, Katharine Ricke, Wilfried Rickels, Soheil Shayegh, Wake Smith, Simone Tilmes, Gernot Wagner, and Jonathan B. Wiener. "Social science research to inform solar geoengineering." Science 374.6569 (2021): 815-818.
Aldy, Joseph et al. "Social Science Research to Inform Solar Geoengineering." Science 374.6569 (2021): 815-818.
Horn, Sebastian, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "China's overseas lending." Journal of International Economics 133 (November 2021): 1-32.
Schlenker, Wolfram, and Charles A. Taylor. "Market expectations of a warming climate." Journal of Financial Economics 142.2 (November 2021): 627-640.
Avery, Christopher, Benjamin L. Castleman, Michael Hurwitz, Bridget Terry Long, Lindsay C. Page. "Digital messaging to improve college enrollment and success." Economics of Education Review 84 (October 2021).
Aldy, Joseph, Matthew L. Kotchen, Robert N. Stavins, and James H. Stock. "Keep Climate Policy Focused on the Social Cost of Carbon." Science 373.6557 (2021): 850-852.
Anderson, Weston, Charles A. Taylor, Sonali McDermid, Elisabeth Ilboudo-Nébié, Richard Seager, Wolfram Schlenker, Fabien Cottier, Alex de Sherbinin, Dara Mendeloff, and Kelsey Markey. "Violent conflict exacerbated drought-related food insecurity between 2009 and 2019 in sub-Saharan Africa." Nature Food 2.8 (August 2021): 603-615.
Jorgenson, Dale W., and Khuong M. Vu. "The G20 and the World Economy: Performance and Prospects." Journal of Policy Modeling 43.4 (July/August 2021): 770-782.
Edmonds, James, Sha Yu, Haewon Mcjeon, Dirk Forrister, Joseph Aldy, Nathan Hultman, Ryna Cui, Stephanie Waldhoff, Leon Clarke, Stefano de Clara, and Clayton Munnings. "How much could article 6 enhance nationally determined contribution ambition toward paris agreement goals through economic efficiency?" Climate Change Economics 12.2 (2021).
Bento, Nuno, Gianfranco Gianfrate, and Joseph E. Aldy. "National Climate Policies and Corporate Internal Carbon Pricing." The Energy Journal 42.5 (2021).