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Gavel and scales of justice on a green-felted desk in front of bookshelves.
Feature: How U.S. Courts Privilege Conservative Policy Outcomes

Maya Sen assesses the institutional and compositional features of U.S. federal courts that tend to bias them toward conservative policy outcomes.

Map of the united states with a pin in the midwest.
Feature: The U.S. Place-Based Policy Supply Chain

Dani Rodrik and Gordon Hanson document how vertical policy supply chains distribute resources from federal and state governments to recipients at the local level.

Political leader speaks into a microphone at a podium with an advisor standing behind her.
Feature: How Does Shaming Human Rights Violators Abroad Shape Attitudes at Home?

Lotem Bassan-Nygate theorizes that by shaming human rights violators abroad, governments can improve their image at home but may encourage tolerance toward certain domestic violations.

Two people sit at a desk in front of a laptop with rows of filing cabinets behind them.
Feature: Thinking (about Peace Science) in Time

Erica Chenoweth speaks to colleagues in the peace science community, reflecting on the world events that have shaped their scholarship and how researchers might think about the current geopolitical moment.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Excess Mortality Rate in Black Children Since 1950 in the United States: A 70-Year Population-Based Study of Racial Inequalities

Paternina-Caicedo, Angel, Oscar Espinosa, Sangini S. Sheth, Nathaniel Hupert, and Soroush Saghafian. "Excess Mortality Rate in Black Children Since 1950 in the United States: A 70-Year Population-Based Study of Racial Inequalities." Annals of Internal Medicine (25 March 2025).

Digital phenotyping in bipolar disorder: Using longitudinal Fitbit data and personalized machine learning to predict mood symptomatology

Lipschitz, Jessica M., Sidian Lin, Soroush Saghafian, Chelsea K. Pike, and Katherine E. Burdick. "Digital phenotyping in bipolar disorder: Using longitudinal Fitbit data and personalized machine learning to predict mood symptomatology." Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica 151.3 (March 2025): 434-447.

Variation in batch ordering of imaging tests in the emergency department and the impact on care delivery

Jameson, Jacob C., Soroush Saghafian, Robert S. Huckman, and Nicole Hodgson. "Variation in batch ordering of imaging tests in the emergency department and the impact on care delivery." Health Services Research 60.1 (February 2025): e14406.

A Framework for Considering the Value of Race and Ethnicity in Estimating Disease Risk

Coots, Madison, Soroush Saghafian, David M. Kent, and Sharad Goel. "A Framework for Considering the Value of Race and Ethnicity in Estimating Disease Risk." Annals of Internal Medicine 178.1 (January 2025): 98-107.

Effective Generative AI: The Human-Algorithm Centaur

Saghafian, Soroush, and Lihi Idan. "Effective Generative AI: The Human-Algorithm Centaur." Harvard Data Science Review Special Issue 5 (December 19, 2024).

Genomic heterogeneity and ploidy identify patients with intrinsic resistance to PD-1 blockade in metastatic melanoma

Tarantino, Giuseppe, Cora A. Ricker, Annette Wang ... Soroush Saghafian et al. "Genomic heterogeneity and ploidy identify patients with intrinsic resistance to PD-1 blockade in metastatic melanoma." Science Advances 10.48 (29 November 2024): eadp4670.

Dynamic Assignment of Patients to Primary and Secondary Inpatient Units: Is Patience a Virtue?

Saghafian, Soroush, Derya Kilinic, and Stephen J. Traub. "Dynamic Assignment of Patients to Primary and Secondary Inpatient Units: Is Patience a Virtue?" The Cambridge Handbook of Healthcare Productivity, Efficiency, Effectiveness. Ed. Shawna Grosskopf, Vivian Valdmanis, and Valentin Zelenyuk. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2024, 612-656.

Supply Chain Management: A Public Sector Perspective

Fagan, Mark L. Supply Chain Management: A Public Sector Perspective. Cheltanham: Edward Elgar Publishing, 2024.

Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach

Saghafian, Soroush. "Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach." Management Science 70.9 (September 2024): 5667-5690.

Drivers, adaptations, and public impacts of hospital closures, implications for policy

Saghafian, Soroush. "Drivers, adaptations, and public impacts of hospital closures, implications for policy." Perspectives: Frontiers in Public Health 12 (August 12, 2024): 1415033.

The role of positive emotion in harmful health behavior: Implications for theory and public health campaigns

Wang, Ke, Vaughan W. Rees, Charles A. Dorison, and Jennifer S. Lerner. "The role of positive emotion in harmful health behavior: Implications for theory and public health campaigns." PNAS 121.28 (July 1, 2024).

Normalizing Reparations: U.S. Precedent, Norms, and Models for Compensating Harms and Implications for Reparations to Black Americans

Bilmes, Linda J., and Cornell Brooks. "Normalizing Reparations: U.S. Precedent, Norms, and Models for Compensating Harms and Implications for Reparations to Black Americans." RSF: The Russell Sage Foundation Journal of the Social Sciences 10.2 (June 2024): 30-67.

Risks in Renaissance Art: Production, Purchase, and Reception

Nelson, Jonathan K., and Richard J. Zeckhauser. Risks in Renaissance Art: Production, Purchase, and Reception. Cambridge University Press, 2024.

Diabetes mellitus and blood glucose variability increases the 30-day readmission rate after kidney transplantation

Orfanoudaki, Agni, Curtiss B. Cook, Soroush Saghafian, Janna Castro, Heidi E. Kosiorek, Harini A. Chakkera. "Diabetes mellitus and blood glucose variability increases the 30-day readmission rate after kidney transplantation." Clinical Transplantation 38.1 (January 2024): e15177.

Is the Pursuit of Efficiency in Healthcare Worth the Gamble?

Saghafian, Soroush. "Is the Pursuit of Efficiency in Healthcare Worth the Gamble?" INFORMS OR/MS Today, December 6, 2023.

The Impact of Vertical Integration on Physician Behavior and Healthcare Delivery: Evidence from Gastroenterology Practices

Saghafian, Soroush, Lina Song, Joseph Newhouse, Mary Beth Landrum, and John Hsu. "The Impact of Vertical Integration on Physician Behavior and Healthcare Delivery: Evidence from Gastroenterology Practices." Management Science 69.12 (December 2023): 7151-7882.

To Batch or Not to Batch: Test-Ordering Variability in the Emergency Department and the Impact on Care Delivery

Jameson, Jacob, Soroush Saghafian, Robert S. Huckman, and Nicole Hodgson. "To Batch or Not to Batch: Test-Ordering Variability in the Emergency Department and the Impact on Care Delivery." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-032, November 2023.

Effective Generative AI: The Human-Algorithm Centaur

Saghafian, Soroush. "Effective Generative AI: The Human-Algorithm Centaur." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-030, October 2023.

Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach

Saghafian, Soroush. "Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach." Management Science (2023).

Feeling uncertain despite knowing the risk: Patients with OCD (but not controls) experience known and unknown probabilistic decisions as similarly distressing and uncertain

Jacoby, Ryan J., Abigail Szkutak, Jin Shin, Jennifer Lerner, and Sabine Wilhelm. "Feeling uncertain despite knowing the risk: Patients with OCD (but not controls) experience known and unknown probabilistic decisions as similarly distressing and uncertain." Journal of Obsessive-Compulsive and Related Disorders 39 (October 2023).

Health and Economic Impacts of Lockdown Policies in the Early Stage of COVID-19 in the United States.

Boloori, Alireza, and Soroush Saghafian. "Health and Economic Impacts of Lockdown Policies in the Early Stage of COVID-19 in the United States." Service Science 15.3 (September 2023): 188-211.

Reevaluating the Role of Race and Ethnicity in Diabetes Screening

Coots, Madison, Soroush Saghafian, David Kent, and Sharad Goel. "Reevaluating the Role of Race and Ethnicity in Diabetes Screening." June 2023.

Who should see the patient? on deviations from preferred patient-provider assignments in hospitals

Atkinson, Mariam K., and Soroush Saghafian. "Who should see the patient? on deviations from preferred patient-provider assignments in hospitals." Health Care Management Science 26.2 (June 2023): 165-199.

Physician-Driven Early Evaluation: Encounters Seen in a Vertical Model

Hodgson, Nicole R., Soroush Saghafian, Molly C. Klanderman, Andrej Urumov, Stephen J. Traub. "Physician-Driven Early Evaluation: Encounters Seen in a Vertical Model." Journal of Emergency Medicine Reports 2.2 (June 2023): 100028.

Vertical Patient Streaming in Emergency Departments

Feizi, Arshya, Agni Orfanoudaki, Soroush Saghafian, and Nicole Hodgson. "Vertical Patient Streaming in Emergency Departments." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-014, May 2023.

Why is federal spending so hard to cut? — Recurring debt ceiling fights will only be solved by budget reform

Bilmes, Linda J. "Why is federal spending so hard to cut? — Recurring debt ceiling fights will only be solved by budget reform." Brookings FixGov, April 27, 2023.

AI for the People: The Use of AI to Improve Government Performance

Fagan, Mark. "AI for the People: The Use of AI to Improve Government Performance." M-RCBG Faculty Working Paper Series, April 2023.

Public institutions and support for climate funding

Bilmes, Linda, Mauricio Rodas, Geraldine Fraser-Moleketi, Devon Rowe, Aminata Touré, and Lan Xue. "Public institutions and support for climate funding." United Nations ECOSOC, March 16. 2023.

Joint patient selection and scheduling under no-shows: Theory and application in proton therapy

Saghafian, Soroush, Nikolaos Trichakis, Ruihao Zhu, and Helen A. Shih. "Joint patient selection and scheduling under no-shows: Theory and application in proton therapy." Production and Operations Management 32.2 (February 2023): 547-563.

I helped balance the federal budget in the 1990s – here’s just how hard it will be for the GOP to achieve that same rare feat

Bilmes, Linda J. "I helped balance the federal budget in the 1990s – here’s just how hard it will be for the GOP to achieve that same rare feat." The Conversation, February 1, 2023.

Can Inclusionary Zoning Be an Effective Housing Policy in Greater Boston? Evidence from Lynn and Revere

Mock, Rozalyn, Megan Willis-Jackson, Bobby Wang, Justin de Benedictis-Kessner, Linda Bilmes, and Brian Iammartino. "Can Inclusionary Zoning Be an Effective Housing Policy in Greater Boston? Evidence from Lynn and Revere." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-006, January 2023.

Understanding the Opioid Epidemic: Human-Based Versus Algorithmic-Based Perceptions, Treatments, and Guidelines

Boloori, Alireza, Soroush Saghafian, and Stephen J. Traub. "Understanding the Opioid Epidemic: Human-Based Versus Algorithmic-Based Perceptions, Treatments, and Guidelines." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-026, December 2022.

Algorithm, Human, or the Centaur: How to Enhance Clinical Care?

Orfanoudaki, Agni, Soroush Saghafian, Karen Song, Harini A. Chakkera, and Curtiss B. Cook. "Algorithm, Human, or the Centaur: How to Enhance Clinical Care?" ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-027, December 2022.

Towards a more efficient healthcare system: Opportunities and challenges caused by hospital closures amid the COVID-19 pandemic

Saghafian, Soroush, Lina D. Song, and Ali S. Raja. "Towards a more efficient healthcare system: Opportunities and challenges caused by hospital closures amid the COVID-19 pandemic." Health Care Management Science 25 (June 2022).

The GI Bill was one of the worst racial injustices of the 20th century. Congress can fix it.

Bilmes, Linda J., and Cornell William Brooks. "The GI Bill was one of the worst racial injustices of the 20th century. Congress can fix it." Boston Globe. February 23, 2022.

Key Success Factors in Environmental Entrepreneurship: The Case of Wilderness Safaris

Austin, James, Megan Epler Wood, and Herman B. Leonard. "Key Success Factors in Environmental Entrepreneurship: The Case of Wilderness Safaris." World Scientific Encyclopedia of Business Sustainability, Ethics and Entrepreneurship. Ed. Peter Gianiodis, Maritza Espina, and William R Meek. World Scientific, 2022, 175-196.

Employee Health Plans Powered by Analytics

Hopp, Wallace, Jun Li, Soroush Saghafian, and Guihua Wang. "Employee Health Plans Powered by Analytics." Management and Business Review 1.3 (2021).

Using Machine Learning to Demystify Startups’ Funding, Post-Money Valuation, and Success

Ang, Yu Qian, Andrew Chia, and Soroush Saghafian. "Using Machine Learning to Demystify Startups’ Funding, Post-Money Valuation, and Success." Innovative Technology at the Interface of Finance and Operations. Ed. Volodymyr Babich, John R. Birge, and Hilary Gilles. Springer, Cham, 2022, 271-296.

The Dragon, the Eagle, and the Private Sector: Public-Private Collaboration in China and the United States

Eggleston, Karen, John D. Donahue, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. The Dragon, the Eagle, and the Private Sector: Public-Private Collaboration in China and the United States. Cambridge University Press, 2021.

Who is Rescuing America's Parks?

Bilmes, Linda J. "Who is Rescuing America's Parks?" Boston Globe, July 27, 2020.

Valuing U.S. National Parks and Programs: America's Best Investment

Bilmes, Linda J., and John B. Loomis. Valuing U.S. National Parks and Programs: America's Best Investment, 1st edition. Routledge, 2020.

Fundamentals of Regulatory Design

Sparrow, Malcolm K. Fundamentals of Regulatory Design, Paperback & Kindle. Kindle Direct Publishing, 2020.

CEO Clarity

Dzielinski, Michal, Alexander F. Wagner, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "CEO Clarity." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP17-017, May 2017.

Perceiving others’ feelings: The importance of personality and social structure

Sherman, Gary D., Jennifer S. Lerner, Jonathan Renshon, Christine Ma-Kellams, and Samantha Joel. "Perceiving others’ feelings: The importance of personality and social structure." Social Psychological and Personality Science 6.5 (July 2015): 559-569.

Introducing Competition into Natural Monopoly Industries: An Evaluation of Mandated Access to Australian Freight Railroads, Regulatory Policy Program Working Paper RPP-2007-05, MR-CBG Kennedy School o

Fagan, Mark. "Introducing Competition into Natural Monopoly Industries: An Evaluation of Mandated Access to Australian Freight Railroads, Regulatory Policy Program Working Paper RPP-2007-05, MR-CBG Kennedy School o." Regulatory Policy Program working paper, May 2007.