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Gavel and scales of justice on a green-felted desk in front of bookshelves.
Feature: How U.S. Courts Privilege Conservative Policy Outcomes

Maya Sen assesses the institutional and compositional features of U.S. federal courts that tend to bias them toward conservative policy outcomes.

Map of the united states with a pin in the midwest.
Feature: The U.S. Place-Based Policy Supply Chain

Dani Rodrik and Gordon Hanson document how vertical policy supply chains distribute resources from federal and state governments to recipients at the local level.

Political leader speaks into a microphone at a podium with an advisor standing behind her.
Feature: How Does Shaming Human Rights Violators Abroad Shape Attitudes at Home?

Lotem Bassan-Nygate theorizes that by shaming human rights violators abroad, governments can improve their image at home but may encourage tolerance toward certain domestic violations.

Two people sit at a desk in front of a laptop with rows of filing cabinets behind them.
Feature: Thinking (about Peace Science) in Time

Erica Chenoweth speaks to colleagues in the peace science community, reflecting on the world events that have shaped their scholarship and how researchers might think about the current geopolitical moment.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

PIIE projects global economy poised for soft landing

Dynan, Karen. "PIIE projects global economy poised for soft landing." Peterson Institute for International Economics (September 26, 2023).

Health and Economic Impacts of Lockdown Policies in the Early Stage of COVID-19 in the United States.

Boloori, Alireza, and Soroush Saghafian. "Health and Economic Impacts of Lockdown Policies in the Early Stage of COVID-19 in the United States." Service Science 15.3 (September 2023): 188-211.

Investment versus Output Subsidies: Implications of Alternative Incentives for Wind Energy

Aldy, Joseph, Todd D. Gerarden, and Richard L. Sweeney. "Investment versus Output Subsidies: Implications of Alternative Incentives for Wind Energy." Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists 10.4 (July 2023): 981-1018.

High-resolution U.S. methane emissions inferred from an inversion of 2019 TROPOMI satellite data: contributions from individual states, urban areas, and landfills

Nesser, Hannah, Daniel J. Jacob, Joannes D. Maasakkers, Alba Lorente, Zichong Chen, Xiao Lu, Lu Shen, Zhen Qu, Melissa P. Sulprizio, Margaux Winter, Shuang Ma, A. Anthony Bloom, John R. Worden, Robert N. Stavins, and Cynthia A. Randles. "High-resolution U.S. methane emissions inferred from an inversion of 2019 TROPOMI satellite data: contributions from individual states, urban areas, and landfills." EGUsphere [preprint] (June 13, 2023).

Reevaluating the Role of Race and Ethnicity in Diabetes Screening

Coots, Madison, Soroush Saghafian, David Kent, and Sharad Goel. "Reevaluating the Role of Race and Ethnicity in Diabetes Screening." June 2023.

Behind schedule: The corporate effort to fulfill climate obligations

Aldy, Joseph, Patrick Bolton, Marcin Kacperczyk, and Zachery M. Halem. "Behind schedule: The corporate effort to fulfill climate obligations." Journal of Applied Corporate Finance 35.2 (Spring 2023): 26-34.

Physician-Driven Early Evaluation: Encounters Seen in a Vertical Model

Hodgson, Nicole R., Soroush Saghafian, Molly C. Klanderman, Andrej Urumov, Stephen J. Traub. "Physician-Driven Early Evaluation: Encounters Seen in a Vertical Model." Journal of Emergency Medicine Reports 2.2 (June 2023): 100028.

Who should see the patient? on deviations from preferred patient-provider assignments in hospitals

Atkinson, Mariam K., and Soroush Saghafian. "Who should see the patient? on deviations from preferred patient-provider assignments in hospitals." Health Care Management Science 26.2 (June 2023): 165-199.

Vertical Patient Streaming in Emergency Departments

Feizi, Arshya, Agni Orfanoudaki, Soroush Saghafian, and Nicole Hodgson. "Vertical Patient Streaming in Emergency Departments." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-014, May 2023.

Satellite quantification of methane emissions and oil–gas methane intensities from individual countries in the Middle East and North Africa: implications for climate action

Chen, Zichong, Daniel J. Jacob, Ritesh Gautam, Mark Omara, Robert N. Stavins, Robert C. Stowe, Hannah Nesser, Melissa P. Sulprizio, Alba Lorente, Daniel J. Varon, Xiao Lu, Lu Shen, Zhen Qu, Drew C. Pendergrass, and Sarah Hancock. "Satellite quantification of methane emissions and oil–gas methane intensities from individual countries in the Middle East and North Africa: implications for climate action." Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 23.10 (31 May 2023): 5945-5967.

Impact of Solar Geoengineering on Temperature-Attributable Mortality

Harding, Anthony, David Keith, Wenchang Yang, and Gabriel Vecchi. "Impact of Solar Geoengineering on Temperature-Attributable Mortality." Resources for the Future Working Paper Series, May 30, 2023.

Gender gaps in South Korea’s labour market: children explain most of the gender employment gap, but little of the gender wage gap

Stansbury, Anna, Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, and Karen Dynan. "Gender gaps in South Korea’s labour market: children explain most of the gender employment gap, but little of the gender wage gap." Applied Economics Letters (May 3, 2023).

Localizing Environmental Regulation: The Case of Boutique Fuels

Aldy, Joseph E., and Maximilian Auffhammer. "Localizing Environmental Regulation: The Case of Boutique Fuels." Resources for the Future, May 2023.

Why is federal spending so hard to cut? — Recurring debt ceiling fights will only be solved by budget reform

Bilmes, Linda J. "Why is federal spending so hard to cut? — Recurring debt ceiling fights will only be solved by budget reform." Brookings FixGov, April 27, 2023.

Show and Tell: An Analysis of Corporate Climate Messaging and its Financial Impacts

Aldy, Joseph, Patrick Bolton, Zachery Halem, Marcin T. Kacperczyk, and Peter R. Orszag. "Show and Tell: An Analysis of Corporate Climate Messaging and its Financial Impacts." April 22, 2023.

Public institutions and support for climate funding

Bilmes, Linda, Mauricio Rodas, Geraldine Fraser-Moleketi, Devon Rowe, Aminata Touré, and Lan Xue. "Public institutions and support for climate funding." United Nations ECOSOC, March 16. 2023.

I helped balance the federal budget in the 1990s – here’s just how hard it will be for the GOP to achieve that same rare feat

Bilmes, Linda J. "I helped balance the federal budget in the 1990s – here’s just how hard it will be for the GOP to achieve that same rare feat." The Conversation, February 1, 2023.

Can Inclusionary Zoning Be an Effective Housing Policy in Greater Boston? Evidence from Lynn and Revere

Mock, Rozalyn, Megan Willis-Jackson, Bobby Wang, Justin de Benedictis-Kessner, Linda Bilmes, and Brian Iammartino. "Can Inclusionary Zoning Be an Effective Housing Policy in Greater Boston? Evidence from Lynn and Revere." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-006, January 2023.

Three Key Issues for Post-pandemic Monetary Policy

Summers, Lawrence H. "Three Key Issues for Post-pandemic Monetary Policy." Cato Policy Report, November/December 2022.

How to save the WTO with more flexible trading rules

Lawrence, Robert Z. "How to save the WTO with more flexible trading rules." Peterson Institute for International Economics Policy Briefs, December 2022.

Understanding the Opioid Epidemic: Human-Based Versus Algorithmic-Based Perceptions, Treatments, and Guidelines

Boloori, Alireza, Soroush Saghafian, and Stephen J. Traub. "Understanding the Opioid Epidemic: Human-Based Versus Algorithmic-Based Perceptions, Treatments, and Guidelines." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-026, December 2022.

Algorithm, Human, or the Centaur: How to Enhance Clinical Care?

Orfanoudaki, Agni, Soroush Saghafian, Karen Song, Harini A. Chakkera, and Curtiss B. Cook. "Algorithm, Human, or the Centaur: How to Enhance Clinical Care?" ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-027, December 2022.

Have trade agreements been bad for America?

Wolff, Alan Wm., Robert Z. Lawrence, and Gary Clyde Hufbauer. "Have trade agreements been bad for America?" Peterson Institute for International Economics Policy Briefs, December 2022.

Designing for Community Engagement: Toward More Equitable Civic Participation in the Federal Regulatory Process

Gilman, Hollie Russon, Archon Fung, and Mark Schmitt. "Designing for Community Engagement: Toward More Equitable Civic Participation in the Federal Regulatory Process." Ash Center for Democratic Governance and Innovation; New America, December 2021.

Analytical models for the design of photophoretically levitating macroscopic sensors in the stratosphere

Schafer, Benjamin C., Jong-hyoung Kim, Joost J. Vlassak, and David W. Keith. "Analytical models for the design of photophoretically levitating macroscopic sensors in the stratosphere." November 2022.

Who Should See the Patient? On Deviations from Preferred Patient-Provider Assignments in Hospitals

Atkinson, Mariam K., and Soroush Saghafian. "Who Should See the Patient? On Deviations from Preferred Patient-Provider Assignments in Hospitals." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-037, November 2022.

The Discontents of Truth & Trust in 21st Century America

Jasanoff, Sheila. "The Discontents of Truth & Trust in 21st Century America." Daedalus 151.4 (Fall 2022): 25-42.

Ultralight and ultra-stiff nano-cardboard panels: mechanical analysis, characterization, and design principles

Kim, Jong-hyoung, Lishuai Jin, Benjamin C. Schafer, Quan Jiao, Katia Bertoldi, David W. Keith, and Joost J. Vlassak. "Ultralight and ultra-stiff nano-cardboard panels: mechanical analysis, characterization, and design principles." November 2022.

How Is the US Pricing Carbon? How Could We Price Carbon?

Aldy, Joseph E., Dallas Burtraw, Carolyn Fischer, Meredith Fowlie, Roberton C. Williams III & Maureen L. Cropper. "How Is the US Pricing Carbon? How Could We Price Carbon?" ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-018, October 2022.

Chapter 13: Economists' analyses of technological change

Scherer, F.M. "Chapter 13: Economists' analyses of technological change." Elgar Encyclopedia on the Economics of Knowledge and Innovation. Ed. Cristiano Antonelli. Elgar, 2022, 115-119.

Martin Weitzman: A Gift That Keeps on Giving

Stavins, Robert N., and Gernot Wagner. "Martin Weitzman: A Gift That Keeps on Giving." Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists 9.5 (September 2022): 843-850.

The Welfare Implications of Carbon Price Certainty

Aldy, Joseph E., and Sarah Armitage. "The Welfare Implications of Carbon Price Certainty." Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists 9.5 (September 2022): 843-1046.

How is the U.S. Pricing Carbon? How Could We Price Carbon?

Aldy, Joseph E., Dallas Burtraw, Carolyn Fischer, Meredith Fowlie, Roberton C. Williams III, and Maureen L. Cropper. "How is the U.S. Pricing Carbon? How Could We Price Carbon?" Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis 13.3 (Fall 2022): 310-334.

The Evolving Role of Greenhouse Gas Emission Offsets in Combating Climate Change

Aldy, Joseph E., and Zachery M. Halem. "The Evolving Role of Greenhouse Gas Emission Offsets in Combating Climate Change." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-011, August 2022.

Learning How to Build Back Better through Clean Energy Policy Evaluation

Aldy, Joseph. "Learning How to Build Back Better through Clean Energy Policy Evaluation." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-010, August 2022.

Comparing Past and Present Inflation

Bolhuis, Marijn A., Judd N. L. Cramer, and Lawrence H. Summers. "Comparing Past and Present Inflation." Review of Finance 26.5 (September 2022): 1073-1100.

The Coming Rise in Residential Inflation

Bolhuis, Marijn A., Judd N. L. Cramer, and Lawrence H. Summers. "The Coming Rise in Residential Inflation." Review of Finance 26.5 (September 2022): 1051-1072.

Bad news for the Fed from the Beveridge space

Blanchard, Olivier, Alex Domash, and Lawrence Summers. "Bad news for the Fed from the Beveridge space." Peterson Institute for International Economics Policy Briefs, July 2022.

Overcoming Corruption and War -- Lessons from Ukraine's ProZorro Procurement System

Yukins, Christopher, and Steven Kelman. "Overcoming Corruption and War -- Lessons from Ukraine's ProZorro Procurement System." NCMA Contract Management Magazine. July 2022, 22-27.

Busting the myths around public investment in clean energy

Meckling, Jonas, Joseph E. Aldy, and Matthew J. Kotchen, Sanya Carley, Daniel C. Esty, Peter A. Raymond, Bella Tonkonogy, Charles Harper, Gillian Sawyer, and Julia Sweatman. "Busting the myths around public investment in clean energy." Nature Energy 7 (July 2022): 563–565.

The value of information about solar geoengineering and the two-sided cost of bias

Harding, Anthony R., Mariia Belaia, and David W. Keith. "The value of information about solar geoengineering and the two-sided cost of bias." Climate Policy (June 2022).

Partnerships under Pressure: Lessons on Adaptation and Overcoming Challenges

Sardonis, Amanda, and Henry Lee. "Partnerships under Pressure: Lessons on Adaptation and Overcoming Challenges." Partnerships for Sustainability in Contemporary Global Governance: Pathways to Effectiveness. Ed. Liliana B. Andonova, Moira V. Faul, and Dario Piselli. Routledge, 2022, 189-212.

The Welfare Implications of Carbon Price Certainty

Aldy, Joseph, and Armitage, Sarah. "The Welfare Implications of Carbon Price Certainty." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-003, May 2022.

A labor market view on the risks of a U.S. hard landing

Domash, Alex, and Lawrence H. Summers. "A labor market view on the risks of a U.S. hard landing." NBER Working Paper Series, April 2022.

Developing a Plume-in-Grid Model for Plume Evolution in the Stratosphere

Sun, Hongwei, Sebastian Eastham, and David Keith. "Developing a Plume-in-Grid Model for Plume Evolution in the Stratosphere." Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 14.4 (April 2022): e2021MS002816.

Towards a more efficient healthcare system: Opportunities and challenges caused by hospital closures amid the COVID-19 pandemic

Saghafian, Soroush, Lina D. Song, and Ali S. Raja. "Towards a more efficient healthcare system: Opportunities and challenges caused by hospital closures amid the COVID-19 pandemic." Health Care Management Science 25 (June 2022).

The GI Bill was one of the worst racial injustices of the 20th century. Congress can fix it.

Bilmes, Linda J., and Cornell William Brooks. "The GI Bill was one of the worst racial injustices of the 20th century. Congress can fix it." Boston Globe. February 23, 2022.

What will happen with US climate policy under the Biden Administration?

Stavins, Robert N. "What will happen with US climate policy under the Biden Administration?" Greening Europe's Post-COVID-19 Recovery. Ed. Simone Tagliapietra, Guntram B. Wolff, and Georg Zachmann. Bruegel, February 2022, 140-151.

How Tight Are U.S. Labor Markets?

Domash, Alex, and Lawrence H. Summers. "How Tight Are U.S. Labor Markets?" NBER Working Paper Series, February 2022.

The Relative Merits of Carbon Pricing Instruments: Taxes versus Trading

Stavins, Robert N. "The Relative Merits of Carbon Pricing Instruments: Taxes versus Trading." Review of Environmental Economics and Policy 16.1 (Winter 2022): 62-82.