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The White House lawn on a sunny day.
Feature: Is DOGE Sure It Wants to Fire These People?

Juliette Kayyem examines the negative effects that Elon Musks’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could have on the safety of everyday Americans.

River running through a densely populated area.
Feature: Private Benefits from Public Investment in Climate Resilience

Joseph Aldy finds that governmental construction of levees, which enhance resilience to flood risks amplified by climate change, increases home values by 3-4 percent.

Person sits on a bed holding a check.
Feature: Assessing Government Outreach to Bolster Benefits Take-Up

Elizabeth Linos finds that light-touch interventions significantly, consistently, and cost-effectively increase benefits take-up among low-income households, while higher-touch proactive outreach yields minimal additional take-up.

Black family happily sits on the grass in a park.
Feature: Excess Mortality Rate in U.S. Black Children Since 1950

Soroush Saghafian finds that 5 million excess deaths of Black Americans, including over 500,000 infants, could have been avoided over the past 70 years if their mortality rates were equal to those of White Americans.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Women as Political Leaders Worldwide: Barriers and Opportunities

Norris, Pippa, and Mona Lena Krook. "Women as Political Leaders Worldwide: Barriers and Opportunities." Women and Elected Office. Ed. Sue Thomas and Clive Wilcox. Oxford University Press, 2014.

U.N. Funding is a Small Price for Peace

Bilmes, Linda J. "U.N. Funding is a Small Price for Peace." Boston Globe, January 25, 2014.

New Frontiers Beyond Risk and Uncertainty: Ignorance, Group Decision, and Unanticipated Themes, Preface 2

Zeckhauser, Richard. "New Frontiers Beyond Risk and Uncertainty: Ignorance, Group Decision, and Unanticipated Themes, Preface 2." Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty. Ed. W. Kip Viscusi and Mark Machina. Elsevier, 2013, xvii-xxix.

Violence and Risk Preference: Experimental Evidence from Afghanistan

Callen, Michael, Mohammad Isaqzadeh, James D. Long, and Charles Sprenger. "Violence and Risk Preference: Experimental Evidence from Afghanistan." American Economic Review 104.1 (January 2014): 123-148.

Maintaining Local Public Goods: Evidence from Rural Kenya

Sheely, Ryan. "Maintaining Local Public Goods: Evidence from Rural Kenya." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-051, December 2013.

Dishonesty and Selection into Public Service

Hanna, Rema, and Shing-Yi Wang. "Dishonesty and Selection into Public Service." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-049, December 2013.

Negotiating Agreement in Politics

Mansbridge, Jane, and Cathie Jo Martin, eds. Negotiating Agreement in Politics. American Political Science Association, 2013.

Negotiation Myopia

Mansbridge, Jane, Chase Foster, and Cathie Jo Martin. "Negotiation Myopia." Negotiating Agreement in Politics. Ed. Jane Mansbridge and Cathie Jo Martin. American Political Science Association, 2013.

Deliberative Negotiation

Warren, Mark, Jane Mansbridge, André Bächtiger, Maxwell A. Cameron, Simone Chambers, John Ferejohn, Alan Jacobs, Jack Knight, Daniel Naurin, Melissa Schwartzberg, Yael Tamir, Dennis Thompson, and Melissa Williams. "Deliberative Negotiation." Negotiating Agreement in Politics. Ed. Jane Mansbridge and Cathie Jo Martin. American Political Science Association, 2013.

Operating Across Boundaries: Leading Adaptive Change

Heifetz, Ronald A. "Operating Across Boundaries: Leading Adaptive Change." Radical Responsibility: Celebrating the Thought of Chief Rabbi Lord Jonathan Sacks. Ed. Michael J. Harris, Daniel Rynhold, and Tamra Wright. Koren Publishers, 2013, 179-199.

Using Case Studies to Explore the External Validity of ‘Complex’ Development Interventions

Woolcock, Michael. "Using Case Studies to Explore the External Validity of ‘Complex’ Development Interventions." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-048, November 2013.

Political Campaigns and Big Data

Nickerson, David W., and Todd Rogers. "Political Campaigns and Big Data." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-045, Revised February 2014.

With HealthCare.gov, the Government's Bad Management Skills are Showing Again

Bilmes, Linda J. and William Daley. "With HealthCare.gov, the Government's Bad Management Skills are Showing Again." The Washington Post, November 7, 2013.

Escaping Capability Traps Through Problem Driven Iterative Adaptation

Andrews, Matthew, Lant Pritchett, and Michael Woolcock. "Escaping Capability Traps Through Problem Driven Iterative Adaptation." World Development 51 (November 2013): 234-244.

In the Eye of the Beholder: Eye Contact Increases Resistance to Persuasion

Chen, Frances S., Julia A. Minson, Maren Schöne, and Markus Heinrichs. "In the Eye of the Beholder: Eye Contact Increases Resistance to Persuasion." Psychological Science 24.11 (November 2013): 2254-2261.

Simplification and Saving

Beshears, John, James J. Choi, David Laibson, and Brigitte C. Madrian. "Simplification and Saving." Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 95 (November 2013): 130-145.

The Brand IDEA: Managing Nonprofit Brands with Integrity, Democracy and Affinity

Laidler-Kylander, Nathalie, and Julia Shepard Stenzel. The Brand IDEA: Managing Nonprofit Brands with Integrity, Democracy and Affinity. Wiley, 2013.

“I Won’t Back Down?” Complexity and Courage in Federal Decision-Making

Kelman, Steven, Ronald Sanders, Gayatri Pandit, and Sarah Taylor. "“I Won’t Back Down?” Complexity and Courage in Federal Decision-Making." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-044, October 2013.

This Could Be the Start of Something Big: Linking Early Managerial Choices with Subsequent Organizational Performance

Kelman, Steven, and Souman Hong. "This Could Be the Start of Something Big: Linking Early Managerial Choices with Subsequent Organizational Performance." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-042, October 2013.

As the Shutdown Turns: It's Time to Stop the Budgetary Soap Opera

Bilmes, Linda J. "As the Shutdown Turns: It's Time to Stop the Budgetary Soap Opera." Cognoscenti, October 10, 2013.

Ignorance: Lessons from the Laboratory of Literature

Roy, Devjani, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Ignorance: Lessons from the Laboratory of Literature." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-039, October 2013.

No Day at the National Parks

Bilmes, Linda J. "No Day at the National Parks." Boston Globe, October 4, 2013.

Why It Is Hard to Find Genes Associated with Social Science Traits: Theoretical and Empirical Considerations

Glaeser, Edward L., Christopher F. Chabris, James J. Lee, Daniel J. Benjamin, Jonathan P. Beauchamp, Gregoire Borst, Steven Pinker, and David I. Laibson. "Why It Is Hard to Find Genes Associated with Social Science Traits: Theoretical and Empirical Considerations." American Journal of Public Health 103.S1 (October 2013): S152-S166.

Ideology, Deliberation and Persuasion within Small Groups: A Randomized Field
Experiment on Fiscal Policy

Esterling, Kevin M., Archon Fung, and Taeku Lee. "Ideology, Deliberation and Persuasion within Small Groups: A Randomized Field Experiment on Fiscal Policy." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-036, September 2013.

Unresponsive and
Unpersuaded: The Unintended Consequences of Voter Persuasion Efforts

Bailey, Michael, Daniel J. Hopkins, and Todd Rogers. "Unresponsive and Unpersuaded: The Unintended Consequences of Voter Persuasion Efforts." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-034, September 2013.

The Three Presidencies: Power and Policy

Porter, Roger B. "The Three Presidencies: Power and Policy." The Presidency and the Political System. Ed. Michael Nelson. CQ Press, 2013, 500-524.

Testimony in Support of a National Veterans' Trust Fund

Bilmes, Linda J. "Testimony in Support of a National Veterans' Trust Fund." Veterans Affairs Committee, U.S. House of Representatives, September 18, 2013.

Testimonials Do Not Convert Patients From Brand to Generic Medication

Beshears, John, James J. Choi, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian, and Gwendolyn Reynolds. "Testimonials Do Not Convert Patients From Brand to Generic Medication." American Journal of Managed Care 19.9 (September 11, 2013): e314-e316.

The Cost of Striking Syria: 4 Lessons from Iraq and Afghanistan

Bilmes, Linda J. "The Cost of Striking Syria: 4 Lessons from Iraq and Afghanistan." Cognoscenti, September 6, 2013.

Vote Self-Prediction Hardly Predicts Who Will Vote, And Is (Misleadingly) Unbiased

Rogers, Todd, and Masa Aida. "Vote Self-Prediction Hardly Predicts Who Will Vote, And Is (Misleadingly) Unbiased." American Politics Research (Published online, September 5, 2013).

Social Class and (Un)Ethical Behavior: A Framework, With Evidence From a Large Population Sample

Trautmann, Stefan T., Gijs van de Kuilen, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Social Class and (Un)Ethical Behavior: A Framework, With Evidence From a Large Population Sample." Perspectives on Psychological Science 8.5 (September 2013): 487-497.

Consumers’ Misunderstanding of Health Insurance

George Loewenstein, Joelle Y. Friedman, Barbara McGill, Sarah Ahmad, Suzanne Linck, Stacey Sinkula, John Beshears, James J. Choi, Jonathan Kolstad, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian, John A. List, and Kevin G. Volpp. "Consumers’ Misunderstanding of Health Insurance." Journal of Health Economics 32.5 (September 2013): 850-862.

Pentagon a Ripe Target for Cuts

Bilmes, Linda J. "Pentagon a Ripe Target for Cuts." Boston Globe, July 31, 2013.

Groups Weight Outside Information Less Than Individuals Do, Although They Shouldn’t: Response to Schultze, Mojzisch, and Schulz-Hardt

Minson, Julia, and Jennifer S. Mueller. "Groups Weight Outside Information Less Than Individuals Do, Although They Shouldn’t: Response to Schultze, Mojzisch, and Schulz-Hardt." Psychological Science 24.7 (July 2013): 1373-1374.

Going Beyond Heroic-Leaders in Development

Andrews, Matthew. "Going Beyond Heroic-Leaders in Development." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-021, June 2013.

Financial Mergers and Their Consequences

Scherer, F.M. "Financial Mergers and Their Consequences." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-019, June 2013.

The Supply of Gender Stereotypes and Discriminatory Beliefs

Glaeser, Edward L., and Yueran Ma. "The Supply of Gender Stereotypes and Discriminatory Beliefs." National Bureau of Economic Research, June 2013.

Psychological Perspectives on Gender in Negotiation

Bowles, Hannah Riley. "Psychological Perspectives on Gender in Negotiation." The Sage Handbook of Gender and Psychology. Ed. M.K. Ryan and N.R. Branscombe. Sage Publications Ltd, 2013.

Do Presidents Really Steer Foreign Policy?

Nye, Jr., Joseph S. "Do Presidents Really Steer Foreign Policy?" Atlantic Monthly. June 2013.

Political Extremism Is Supported by an Illusion of Understanding

Fernbach, Philip M., Todd Rogers, Craig R. Fox, and Steven A. Sloman. "Political Extremism Is Supported by an Illusion of Understanding." Psychological Science 24.6 (June 2013): 939-946.

Solomonic Separation: Risk Decisions as Productivity Indicators

Miller, Nolan, Alexander F. Wagner, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Solomonic Separation: Risk Decisions as Productivity Indicators." Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 46.3 (June 2013): 265-297.

Can Inaccurate Beliefs About Incumbents be Changed? And Can Reframing Change Votes?

Rogers, Todd, and David W. Nickerson. "Can Inaccurate Beliefs About Incumbents be Changed? And Can Reframing Change Votes?" vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-018, May 2013.

Obama Can Still Build a Second-Term Legacy

Nye, Jr., Joseph S. "Obama Can Still Build a Second-Term Legacy." CNN.com, May 21, 2013.

The Decisions of Entrepreneurs and Their Agents: Revealed Levels of Risk Aversion and Betrayal Aversion

Dreber, Anna, David Rand, Nils Wernerfelt, Peter Worrell, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Decisions of Entrepreneurs and Their Agents: Revealed Levels of Risk Aversion and Betrayal Aversion." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-016, May 2013.

Foreword

Sparrow, Malcolm K. "Foreword." Financial Supervision in the 21st Century. Ed. A. Joanne Kellermann, Jakob de Haan, and Femke de Vries. Springer-Verlag, 2013, v-viii.

A Homeowner's Dilemma: Anchoring in Residential Real Estate Transactions

Bucchianeri, Grace W., and Julia A. Minson. "A Homeowner's Dilemma: Anchoring in Residential Real Estate Transactions." Organization 89 (May 2013): 76–92.

It‘s All About MeE: Using
Structured Experiential
Learning (“e”) to Crawl the
Design Space

Pritchett, Lant, Salimah Samji, and Jeffrey Hammer. "It‘s All About MeE: Using Structured Experiential Learning (“e”) to Crawl the Design Space." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-012, May 2013.

Questions & Answers: Negotiating with Yourself

Hong, Kessely. "Questions & Answers: Negotiating with Yourself." Negotiation Newsletter, Program on Negotiation, Harvard Law School. May 2013, 8. (Reprinted in Executive Leadership, Business Management Daily, Volume 28, June 2013, 7.

Shunning Uncertainty: The Neglect of Learning Opportunities

Trautmann, Stefan T., and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Shunning Uncertainty: The Neglect of Learning Opportunities." Games and Economic Behavior 79 (May 2013): 44–55.

Who Really Leads Development?

Andrews, Matthew. "Who Really Leads Development?" vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP13-011, April 2013.