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Gavel and scales of justice on a green-felted desk in front of bookshelves.
Feature: How U.S. Courts Privilege Conservative Policy Outcomes

Maya Sen assesses the institutional and compositional features of U.S. federal courts that tend to bias them toward conservative policy outcomes.

Map of the united states with a pin in the midwest.
Feature: The U.S. Place-Based Policy Supply Chain

Dani Rodrik and Gordon Hanson document how vertical policy supply chains distribute resources from federal and state governments to recipients at the local level.

Political leader speaks into a microphone at a podium with an advisor standing behind her.
Feature: How Does Shaming Human Rights Violators Abroad Shape Attitudes at Home?

Lotem Bassan-Nygate theorizes that by shaming human rights violators abroad, governments can improve their image at home but may encourage tolerance toward certain domestic violations.

Two people sit at a desk in front of a laptop with rows of filing cabinets behind them.
Feature: Thinking (about Peace Science) in Time

Erica Chenoweth speaks to colleagues in the peace science community, reflecting on the world events that have shaped their scholarship and how researchers might think about the current geopolitical moment.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Excess Mortality Rate in Black Children Since 1950 in the United States: A 70-Year Population-Based Study of Racial Inequalities

Paternina-Caicedo, Angel, Oscar Espinosa, Sangini S. Sheth, Nathaniel Hupert, and Soroush Saghafian. "Excess Mortality Rate in Black Children Since 1950 in the United States: A 70-Year Population-Based Study of Racial Inequalities." Annals of Internal Medicine (25 March 2025).

Variation in batch ordering of imaging tests in the emergency department and the impact on care delivery

Jameson, Jacob C., Soroush Saghafian, Robert S. Huckman, and Nicole Hodgson. "Variation in batch ordering of imaging tests in the emergency department and the impact on care delivery." Health Services Research 60.1 (February 2025): e14406.

A Framework for Considering the Value of Race and Ethnicity in Estimating Disease Risk

Coots, Madison, Soroush Saghafian, David M. Kent, and Sharad Goel. "A Framework for Considering the Value of Race and Ethnicity in Estimating Disease Risk." Annals of Internal Medicine 178.1 (January 2025): 98-107.

Dynamic Assignment of Patients to Primary and Secondary Inpatient Units: Is Patience a Virtue?

Saghafian, Soroush, Derya Kilinic, and Stephen J. Traub. "Dynamic Assignment of Patients to Primary and Secondary Inpatient Units: Is Patience a Virtue?" The Cambridge Handbook of Healthcare Productivity, Efficiency, Effectiveness. Ed. Shawna Grosskopf, Vivian Valdmanis, and Valentin Zelenyuk. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2024, 612-656.

Global health 2050: the path to halving premature death by
mid-century

Jamison, Dean T., Lawrence H. Summers, et al. "Global health 2050: the path to halving premature death by mid-century." The Lancet 404.10462 (October 2024): 1561-1614.

Medicare Part D Protected-Class Policy Is Associated With Lower Drug Rebates

Kakani, Pragya, Michael Anne Kyle, Amitabh Chandra, and Luca Maini. "Medicare Part D Protected-Class Policy Is Associated With Lower Drug Rebates." Health Affairs 43.10 (October 2024): 1420-1427.

Review of The Resilient Society

Furman, Jason. Review of The Resilient Society, by Markus K. Brunnermeier. Journal of Economic Literature, 62.3, September 2024: 1258-1259.

Drivers, adaptations, and public impacts of hospital closures, implications for policy

Saghafian, Soroush. "Drivers, adaptations, and public impacts of hospital closures, implications for policy." Perspectives: Frontiers in Public Health 12 (August 12, 2024): 1415033.

The role of positive emotion in harmful health behavior: Implications for theory and public health campaigns

Wang, Ke, Vaughan W. Rees, Charles A. Dorison, and Jennifer S. Lerner. "The role of positive emotion in harmful health behavior: Implications for theory and public health campaigns." PNAS 121.28 (July 1, 2024).

It Is Time to Consider More Price Regulation in Health Care

Glied, Sherry, and Amitabh Chandra. "It Is Time to Consider More Price Regulation in Health Care." JAMA Forum 5.6 (June 2024): e242342.

Starting health reform from here

Furman, Jason. "Starting health reform from here." Journal of Policy Analysis and Management (April 30, 2024).

Which direction should we head to get to our North Star?

Furman, Jason. "Which direction should we head to get to our North Star?" Journal of Policy Analysis and Management (April 30, 2024).

Biopharma Venture Capital And The Inflation Reduction Act

Vogel, Matthew, Rena M. Conti, and Amitabh Chandra. "Biopharma Venture Capital And The Inflation Reduction Act." Health Affairs Forefront (March 5, 2024).

Steady-State Social Distancing and Vaccination

Avery, Christopher, Frederick Chen, and David McAdams. "Steady-State Social Distancing and Vaccination." American Economic Review: Insights 6.1 (March 2024): 1-19.

Investing in Long-Term Health

Baicker, Katherine, and Amitabh Chandra. "Investing in Long-Term Health." JAMA Forum 5.2 (February 2024): e240193.

Medicare price negotiation and pharmaceutical innovation following the Inflation Reduction Act

Vogel, Matthew, Pragya Kakani, Amitabh Chandra, and Rena M. Conti. "Medicare price negotiation and pharmaceutical innovation following the Inflation Reduction Act." Nature Biotechnology (31 January 2024).

Diabetes mellitus and blood glucose variability increases the 30-day readmission rate after kidney transplantation

Orfanoudaki, Agni, Curtiss B. Cook, Soroush Saghafian, Janna Castro, Heidi E. Kosiorek, Harini A. Chakkera. "Diabetes mellitus and blood glucose variability increases the 30-day readmission rate after kidney transplantation." Clinical Transplantation 38.1 (January 2024): e15177.

Is the Pursuit of Efficiency in Healthcare Worth the Gamble?

Saghafian, Soroush. "Is the Pursuit of Efficiency in Healthcare Worth the Gamble?" INFORMS OR/MS Today, December 6, 2023.

The Great Resignation, Employment, and Wages in Health Care

Chandra, Amitabh, and Louis-Jonas Heizlsperger. "The Great Resignation, Employment, and Wages in Health Care." NEJM Catalyst, December 4, 2023.

The Impact of Vertical Integration on Physician Behavior and Healthcare Delivery: Evidence from Gastroenterology Practices

Saghafian, Soroush, Lina Song, Joseph Newhouse, Mary Beth Landrum, and John Hsu. "The Impact of Vertical Integration on Physician Behavior and Healthcare Delivery: Evidence from Gastroenterology Practices." Management Science 69.12 (December 2023): 7151-7882.

Cost of Exempting Sole Orphan Drugs From Medicare Negotiation

Vogel, Matthew, Olivia Zhao, William B. Feldman, Amitabh Chandra, Aaron S. Kesselheim, and Benjamin N. Rome. "Cost of Exempting Sole Orphan Drugs From Medicare Negotiation." JAMA Internal Medicine (November 27, 2023).

To Batch or Not to Batch: Test-Ordering Variability in the Emergency Department and the Impact on Care Delivery

Jameson, Jacob, Soroush Saghafian, Robert S. Huckman, and Nicole Hodgson. "To Batch or Not to Batch: Test-Ordering Variability in the Emergency Department and the Impact on Care Delivery." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-032, November 2023.

Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach

Saghafian, Soroush. "Ambiguous Dynamic Treatment Regimes: A Reinforcement Learning Approach." Management Science (2023).

Feeling uncertain despite knowing the risk: Patients with OCD (but not controls) experience known and unknown probabilistic decisions as similarly distressing and uncertain

Jacoby, Ryan J., Abigail Szkutak, Jin Shin, Jennifer Lerner, and Sabine Wilhelm. "Feeling uncertain despite knowing the risk: Patients with OCD (but not controls) experience known and unknown probabilistic decisions as similarly distressing and uncertain." Journal of Obsessive-Compulsive and Related Disorders 39 (October 2023).

What Does the Inflation Reduction Act Mean for Patients and Physicians?

Chandra, Amitabh, and Benedic Ippolito. "What Does the Inflation Reduction Act Mean for Patients and Physicians?" NEJM Catalyst Innovations in Care Delivery 4.10 (September 20, 2023).

Health and Economic Impacts of Lockdown Policies in the Early Stage of COVID-19 in the United States.

Boloori, Alireza, and Soroush Saghafian. "Health and Economic Impacts of Lockdown Policies in the Early Stage of COVID-19 in the United States." Service Science 15.3 (September 2023): 188-211.

Productivity Variation and Input Misallocation: Evidence from Hospitals

Chandra, Amitabh, Carrie H. Colla, and Jonathan S. Skinner. "Productivity Variation and Input Misallocation: Evidence from Hospitals." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-024, August 2023.

Reevaluating the Role of Race and Ethnicity in Diabetes Screening

Coots, Madison, Soroush Saghafian, David Kent, and Sharad Goel. "Reevaluating the Role of Race and Ethnicity in Diabetes Screening." June 2023.

Who should see the patient? on deviations from preferred patient-provider assignments in hospitals

Atkinson, Mariam K., and Soroush Saghafian. "Who should see the patient? on deviations from preferred patient-provider assignments in hospitals." Health Care Management Science 26.2 (June 2023): 165-199.

Physician-Driven Early Evaluation: Encounters Seen in a Vertical Model

Hodgson, Nicole R., Soroush Saghafian, Molly C. Klanderman, Andrej Urumov, Stephen J. Traub. "Physician-Driven Early Evaluation: Encounters Seen in a Vertical Model." Journal of Emergency Medicine Reports 2.2 (June 2023): 100028.

What Can Economics Say about Alzheimer's Disease?

Chandra, Amitabh, Courtney Coile, and Corina Mommaerts. "What Can Economics Say about Alzheimer's Disease?" Journal of Economic Literature 61.2 (June 2023): 428-470.

Vertical Patient Streaming in Emergency Departments

Feizi, Arshya, Agni Orfanoudaki, Soroush Saghafian, and Nicole Hodgson. "Vertical Patient Streaming in Emergency Departments." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP23-014, May 2023.

Achieving Universal Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: Addressing Market Failures or Providing a Social Floor?

Baicker, Katherine, Amitabh Chandra, and Mark Shepard. "Achieving Universal Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: Addressing Market Failures or Providing a Social Floor?" Journal of Economic Perspectives 37.2 (Spring 2023): 99-122.

Irrigation and Climate Change: Long-run Adaptation and its Externalities

Taylor, Charles A. "Irrigation and Climate Change: Long-run Adaptation and its Externalities." March 2023.

A Different Framework to Achieve Universal Coverage in the US

Baicker, Katherine, Amitabh Chandra, and Mark Shepard. "A Different Framework to Achieve Universal Coverage in the US." JAMA Health Forum 4.2 (February 2023): e230187.

Concerns about Patient Access to Biopharmaceuticals and Outcomes

Chandra, Amitabh, and Jay V. Patel. "Concerns about Patient Access to Biopharmaceuticals and Outcomes." NEJM Catalyst Innovations in Care Delivery 4.2 (February 2023).

Joint patient selection and scheduling under no-shows: Theory and application in proton therapy

Saghafian, Soroush, Nikolaos Trichakis, Ruihao Zhu, and Helen A. Shih. "Joint patient selection and scheduling under no-shows: Theory and application in proton therapy." Production and Operations Management 32.2 (February 2023): 547-563.

Are Hospital Quality Indicators Causal?

Chandra, Amitabh, Maurice Dalton, and Douglas O. Staiger. "Are Hospital Quality Indicators Causal?" NBER Working Paper Series, October 2023.

Regional and Racial Variation in Health Care among Medicare Beneficiaries: A Brief Report of the Dartmouth Atlas Project

Fisher, Elliott S., David C. Goodman, and Amitabh Chandra. "Regional and Racial Variation in Health Care among Medicare Beneficiaries: A Brief Report of the Dartmouth Atlas Project." The Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice, Lebanon (NH), December 2022.

Understanding the Opioid Epidemic: Human-Based Versus Algorithmic-Based Perceptions, Treatments, and Guidelines

Boloori, Alireza, Soroush Saghafian, and Stephen J. Traub. "Understanding the Opioid Epidemic: Human-Based Versus Algorithmic-Based Perceptions, Treatments, and Guidelines." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-026, December 2022.

Algorithm, Human, or the Centaur: How to Enhance Clinical Care?

Orfanoudaki, Agni, Soroush Saghafian, Karen Song, Harini A. Chakkera, and Curtiss B. Cook. "Algorithm, Human, or the Centaur: How to Enhance Clinical Care?" ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-027, December 2022.

Regulatory Incentives for Innovation:
The FDA's Breakthrough Therapy
Designation

Chandra, Amitabh, Jennifer Kao, Kathleen L. Miller and Ariel D. Stern. "Regulatory Incentives for Innovation: The FDA's Breakthrough Therapy Designation." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-024, December 2022.

The Contribution of Price Growth to Pharmaceutical Revenue Growth in the U.S.: Evidence from Medicines Sold in Retail Pharmacies

Kakani, Pragya, Michael Chernew and Amitabh Chandra. "The Contribution of Price Growth to Pharmaceutical Revenue Growth in the U.S.: Evidence from Medicines Sold in Retail Pharmacies." Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law 47.6 (December 2022): 629-648.

Who Should See the Patient? On Deviations from Preferred Patient-Provider Assignments in Hospitals

Atkinson, Mariam K., and Soroush Saghafian. "Who Should See the Patient? On Deviations from Preferred Patient-Provider Assignments in Hospitals." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-037, November 2022.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on young children and their caregivers

Costa, Priscila, Andréia Cascaes Cruz, Annelise Alves, Martinez Calazans Rodrigues, and Ronald Ferguson. "The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on young children and their caregivers." Child: care, health and development 48.6 (November 2022): 1001-1007.

Hospital Allocation and Racial Disparities in Health Care

Chandra, Amitabh, Pragya Kakani, and Adam Sacarny. "Hospital Allocation and Racial Disparities in Health Care." Review of Economics and Statistics (September 2022): 1-39.

The 1968 Influenza Pandemic and COVID-19 Outcomes

Taylor, Charles A., Christopher Boulos, and Matthew J. Memoli. "The 1968 Influenza Pandemic and COVID-19 Outcomes." September 2022.

Availability of New Medicines in the US and Germany From 2004 to 2018

Blankart, Katharina, Huseyin Naci, and Amitabh Chandra. "Availability of New Medicines in the US and Germany From 2004 to 2018." JAMA Network Open 5.8 (August 30, 2022): e2229231.

Coverage of New Drugs in Medicare Part D

Naci, Huseyin, Ilias Kyriopoulos, William B. Feldman, Thomas J. Hwang, Aaron S. Kesselheim, and Amitabh Chandra. "Coverage of New Drugs in Medicare Part D." The Milbank Quarterly 100.2 (June 2022): 562-588.

Towards a more efficient healthcare system: Opportunities and challenges caused by hospital closures amid the COVID-19 pandemic

Saghafian, Soroush, Lina D. Song, and Ali S. Raja. "Towards a more efficient healthcare system: Opportunities and challenges caused by hospital closures amid the COVID-19 pandemic." Health Care Management Science 25 (June 2022).