The Hell of Good Intentions: America’s Foreign Policy Elite and the Decline of U.S. Primacy
Over the past quarter century, U.S.
Research
Analytic Confidence and Political Decision Making: Theoretical Principles and Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals
When making decisions under uncertainty, it is important to distinguish between the probability that a judgment is true and the confidence analysts possess in drawing their conclusions.
Conflict, Climate, and Cells: A Disaggregated Analysis
We conduct a disaggregated empirical analysis of civil conflict at the subnational level in Africa over 1997 to 2011 using a new gridded data set.
Trump's Currency Confusion Continues
Next month, the US Department of the Treasury is due to submit to Congress its biannual report detailing which countries, if any, are manipulating their currencies to gain an unfair trade advantage.
Full Committee Hearing Assessing the Value of the NATO Alliance
NATO is facing ... one of its most difficult crises in seven decades. It is not a crisis of military strength or readiness.
Not for the Faint of Heart: Lessons in Courage, Power, and Persistence
Few people have sat across from the Iranians and the North Koreans at the negotiating table. Wendy Sherman has done both.
A Time for Positive Sum Power
Donald Trump’s proclamation of “America first” is a repudiation of Woodrow Wilson.
Multinationals as Global Institution: Power, Authority and Relative Autonomy
This article aims to inform the long-standing and unresolved debate between voluntary corporate social responsibility and initiatives to impose binding legal obligations on multinational enterprises.
Confronting an Enemy with Unknown Preferences: Deterrer or Provocateur?
Nation 1 is seeking to join the nuclear club. Nation 2, its enemy, would like to prevent this, and has the potential to destroy 1's bomb-making facilities. It is uncertain whether 1 has a bomb.
How We Got the Iran Deal – And Why We'll Miss It
n the international negotiations that resulted in the 2015 agreement to limit Iran’s nuclear activities, I led the team of American diplomats representing the United States.
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