ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø

Assessing Uncertainty in Intelligence

This article addresses the challenge of managing uncertainty when producing estimative intelligence.

The Role of Emotions in Foreign Policy Decision Making

Operation Enduring Freedom—Philippines: Civilian Harm and the Indirect Approach

At the request of the SOCOM Commander, the study authors deployed to the Philippines to examine Operation Enduring Freedom-Philippines (OEF-P). Since 2002, U.S.

Slinking Toward the Bomb

Over the past decade Iran has been cautiously, but steadily, putting in place all the elements it needs to construct a nuclear weapon in short order. But as James R.

How Close Is Iran to Exploding Its First Nuclear Bomb?

Over the past decade Iran has been cautiously, but steadily, putting in place all the elements it needs to construct a nuclear weapon in short order. But as James R.

How to Avoid a War With Iran

Observers would be forgiven for dismissing negotiations over Iran's nuclear program as Kabuki theater. Despite years of on-again, off-again efforts, after all, fears of war continue to simmer.

Europe's Other Challenge: Immigration

In the same way that the fiscal crisis is pitting northern and central Europe against southern Europe, the refugee challenge is making similar distinctions.

Israel’s Undersea Gas Bonanza May Spur Mideastern Strife

Egypt’s decision last month to stop selling natural gas to Israel could be a harbinger of increasingly confrontational Egyptian-Israeli relations, an indication of a worsening Egyptian economy, or bot

Anchoring NATO with Leadership

The long-term need for stronger political leadership is NATO's most important challenge.

Designing a Bretton Woods Institution to Address Climate Change

The information structure of the climate change policy collaboration problem necessitates the design of institutions to enhance public knowledge about nations’ commitments, policies, and outcomes.