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Two older people sit on a bench near a beach on a clear day.
Feature: Changes in Racial Gaps in Retirement Security over Time

Douglas Elmendorf and Karen Dynan find a large wealth disparity between White and Black families nearing retirement age, and notable wealth declines for both groups between 2001 and 2019.

A man wearing a mask talks on a cell phone.
Feature: Recovering from COVID

James Stock finds that COVID-19 recovery was unprecedented in its rapid speed but still introduced or accelerated structural economic changes, including to the labor force.

Person looks at a text message on their cell phone.
Feature: Efficacy of Text Messaging in Activating Hard-to-Reach Voters

Latanya Sweeney finds that text message reminders can effectively boost engagement and registration accuracy among hard-to-reach voters.

A person reads an academic article on a laptop.
Feature: The Global Distribution of Authorship in Economics Journals

Dani Rodrik finds that Western and Northern European authors are overrepresented in economics journals by an order of magnitude compared to authors based in low-income countries.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Optimal climate policy in 3D: mitigation, carbon removal, and solar geoengineering

Belaia, Mariia, Juan B. Moreno-Cruz, and David Keith. "Optimal climate policy in 3D: mitigation, carbon removal, and solar geoengineering." Climate Change Economics 12.3 (August 2021): 2150008.

Status, Growth, and Perceptions of School Quality

Houston, David M., Michael Henderson, Paul E. Peterson, and Martin R. West. "Status, Growth, and Perceptions of School Quality." Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis 44.1 (August 2021): 105 -126.

Use of Imputation and Decision Modeling to Improve Diagnosis and Management of Patients at Risk for New Onset Diabetes After Transplantation

Munshi, Vidit N., Soroush Saghafian, Curtiss B. Cook, Sumhith Veda Aradhyula, and Harini A. Chakkera. "Use of Imputation and Decision Modeling to Improve Diagnosis and Management of Patients at Risk for New Onset Diabetes After Transplantation." Annals of Transplantation 26 (2021).

Identifying Medicare beneficiaries with dementia

Moura, Lidia M. V. R., Natalia Festa, Mary Price, Margarita Volya, Nicole M. Benson, Sahar Zafar, Max Weiss, Deborah Blacker, Sharon-Lise Normand, John Hsu, and Joseph P. Newhouse. "Identifying Medicare beneficiaries with dementia." Journal of the American Geriatrics Society 69.8 (August 2021): 2240-2251.

Systematic Managed Floating

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Systematic Managed Floating." The Asian Monetary Policy Forum. Ed. Steven J. Davis, Edward S. Robinson, Bernard Yeung. World Scientific Publishing, 2021.

The Fall and Rise of Immigrant Employment During the Covid-19 Pandemic

Borjas, George, and Hugh Cassidy. "The Fall and Rise of Immigrant Employment During the Covid-19 Pandemic." August 2021.

From Shareholder Primacy to a Dual Majority Board

Battilana, Julie, and Isabelle Ferreras. "From Shareholder Primacy to a Dual Majority Board." The Aspen Institute Business & Society Program Report Series, August 2021.

Covariance Regression Models for Studying Treatment Effect Heterogeneity Across One or More Outcomes: Understanding How Treatments Shape Inequality

Bloome, Deirdre, and Daniel Schrage. "Covariance Regression Models for Studying Treatment Effect Heterogeneity Across One or More Outcomes: Understanding How Treatments Shape Inequality." Sociological Methods & Research 50.3 (2021): 1034-1072.

Who Negotiates and When? Individual Differences and Context Effects in Negotiation

Carnevale, Peter, Daniel Ames, Hillary Anger Elfenbein, Einav Hart, Hannah Riley Bowles, Jared R. Curhan, Nilajana Dasgupta, Noah Eisenkraft, Bobbi Thomason and Deborah Wu. "Who Negotiates and When? Individual Differences and Context Effects in Negotiation." Academy of Management Proceedings 2021.1 (August 2021).

Olive Garden's Expansion Of Paid Sick Leave During COVID-19 Reduced The Share Of Employees Working While Sick

Schneider, Daniel, Kristen Harknett, and Elmer Vivas-Portillo. "Olive Garden's Expansion Of Paid Sick Leave During COVID-19 Reduced The Share Of Employees Working While Sick." Health Affairs 40.8 (August 2021): 1328-1336.

Violent conflict exacerbated drought-related food insecurity between 2009 and 2019 in sub-Saharan Africa

Anderson, Weston, Charles A. Taylor, Sonali McDermid, Elisabeth Ilboudo-Nébié, Richard Seager, Wolfram Schlenker, Fabien Cottier, Alex de Sherbinin, Dara Mendeloff, and Kelsey Markey. "Violent conflict exacerbated drought-related food insecurity between 2009 and 2019 in sub-Saharan Africa." Nature Food 2.8 (August 2021): 603-615.

Technological Progress and Health Convergence: The Case of Penicillin in Postwar Italy

Alsan, Marcella, Vincenzo Atella, Jay Bhattacharya, Valentina Conti, Iván Mejía-Guevara, and Grant Miller. "Technological Progress and Health Convergence: The Case of Penicillin in Postwar Italy." Demography 58.4 (2021): 1473-1498.

Finance as the Binding Constraint to Growth

Cheston, Timothy, Bradley Cunningham, Ricardo Hausmann, and Jorge Tapia. "Finance as the Binding Constraint to Growth." Growth Lab Working Paper Series, August 2021.

Coordination Failures in Adopting New Technological Capabilities as the Binding Constraint to Growth

Barrios, Douglas, Timothy Cheston, Bradley Cunningham, and Ricardo Hausmann. "Coordination Failures in Adopting New Technological Capabilities as the Binding Constraint to Growth." Growth Lab Working Paper Series, August 2021.

Prisms of the People: Power & Organizing in Twenty-First-Century America

Han, Hahrie, Elizabeth McKenna, and Michelle Oyakawa. Prisms of the People: Power & Organizing in Twenty-First-Century America. University of Chicago Press, 2021.

Hatred against Roma in times of pandemic

Matache, Margareta, Jennifer Leaning, and Jacqueline Bhabha. "Hatred against Roma in times of pandemic." Public Health, Mental Health, And Mass Atrocity Prevention. Ed. Jocelyn Getgen Kestenbaum, Caitlin O. Mahoney, Amy E. Meade, and Arlan F. Fuller. Routledge, 2021.

Unobserved Heterogeneity, State Dependence, and Health Plan Choices

Pakes, Ariel, Jack Porter, Mark Shepard, and Sophie Calder-Wang. "Unobserved Heterogeneity, State Dependence, and Health Plan Choices." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-020, July 2021.

Prepared Testimony on “Economic Disparities and the Economic Challenges Facing American Families”

Furman, Jason. "Prepared Testimony on “Economic Disparities and the Economic Challenges Facing American Families”." Select Committee on Economic Disparity and Fairness in Growth, 07/29/2021.

Artificial Intelligence and the Past, Present, and Future of Democracy

Risse, Mathias. "Artificial Intelligence and the Past, Present, and Future of Democracy." Reimagining Rights and Responsibilities in the United States, Carr Center for Human Rights Policy, 7/28/2021.

The Great Unequalizer: Initial Health Effects of COVID-19 in the United States

Alsan, Marcella, Amitabh Chandra, and Kosali I. Simon. "The Great Unequalizer: Initial Health Effects of COVID-19 in the United States." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-019, July 2021.

Africa’s Manufacturing Puzzle: Evidence from Tanzanian and Ethiopian Firms

Diao, Xinshen, Mia Ellis, Margaret McMillan, and Dani Rodrik. "Africa’s Manufacturing Puzzle: Evidence from Tanzanian and Ethiopian Firms." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-018, July 2021.

What I Saw on the Road to Insurrection: Internal Political Efficacy, Conspiracy Beliefs and the Effect of Depression on Support for the January 6th Storming of the Capitol

Baum, Matthew A., James Druckman, Matthew D Simonson, Jennifer Lin, and Roy Perlis. "What I Saw on the Road to Insurrection: Internal Political Efficacy, Conspiracy Beliefs and the Effect of Depression on Support for the January 6th Storming of the Capitol." July 2021.

Surveilling Surveillance: Estimating the Prevalence of Surveillance Cameras with Street View Data

Sheng, Hao, Keniel Yao, and Sharad Goel. "Surveilling Surveillance: Estimating the Prevalence of Surveillance Cameras with Street View Data." Proceedings of the 2021 AAAI/ACM Conference on AI, Ethics, and Society. Association for Computing Machinery, 2021, 221-230.

Blind Justice: Algorithmically Masking Race in Charging Decisions

Chohlas-Wood, Alex, Joe Nudell, Keniel Yao, Zhiyuan (Jerry) Lin, Julian Nyarko, and Sharad Goel. "Blind Justice: Algorithmically Masking Race in Charging Decisions." Proceedings of the 2021 AAAI/ACM Conference on AI, Ethics, and Society. Association for Computing Machinery, July 2021, 35-45.

Study to Identify Methods to Advance Equity: A Report to the President

Office for Management and Budget. "Study to Identify Methods to Advance Equity: A Report to the President." United States Office of Management and Budget, July 2021.

Beyond Causality: Additional Benefits of Randomized Controlled Trials for Improving Health Care Delivery

Alsan, Marcella, and Amy N. Finkelstein. "Beyond Causality: Additional Benefits of Randomized Controlled Trials for Improving Health Care Delivery." The Milbank Quarterly 99.4 (December 2021): 864-881.

Economic Perspectives on Infrastructure Investment

Glaeser, Edward L., and James Poterba. "Economic Perspectives on Infrastructure Investment." Rebuilding the Post-Pandemic Economy. Ed. Melissa S. Kearney and Amy Ganz. Aspen Institute Press, 2021.

How governments can prepare for crises: the lessons from COVID

Das, Jishnu, Adnan Q. Khan, Asim Khwaja, and Anum Malkani. "How governments can prepare for crises: the lessons from COVID." LSE COVID-19 Blog. July 14, 2021.

Effect of Physician-Delivered COVID-19 Public Health Messages and Messages Acknowledging Racial Inequity on Black and White Adults’ Knowledge, Beliefs, and Practices Related to COVID-19: A Randomized

Torres Carlos, Lucy Ogbu-Nwobodo, Marcella Alsan, Fatima Cody Stanford, Abhijit Banerjee, Emily Breza, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Sarah Eichmeyer, Mohit Karnani, Tristan Loisel, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Benjamin A. Olken, Pierre-Luc Vautrey, Erica Warner, and Esther Duflo. "Effect of Physician-Delivered COVID-19 Public Health Messages and Messages Acknowledging Racial Inequity on Black and White Adults’ Knowledge, Beliefs, and Practices Related to COVID-19: A Randomized Clinical Trial." JAMA Network Open 4.7 (2021).

Corporate Globalization and the Liberal Order: Disembedding and Reembedding Governing Norms

Ruggie, John Gerard. "Corporate Globalization and the Liberal Order: Disembedding and Reembedding Governing Norms." The Downfall of the American Order: Liberalism’s End? Ed. Peter J. Katzenstein and Jonathan D. Kirshner. Cornell University Press, 2021.

Predictors of COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy: Socio-Demographics, Co-Morbidity, and Past Experience of Racial Discrimination

Savoia, Elena, Rachael Piltch-Loeb, Beth Goldberg, Cynthia Miller-Idriss, Brian Hughes, Alberto Montrond, Juliette Kayyem, and Marcia A. Testa. "Predictors of COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy: Socio-Demographics, Co-Morbidity, and Past Experience of Racial Discrimination." Vaccines 9.7 (July 2021): 767.

From Rebel to Ruler: One Hundred Years of the Chinese Communist Party

Saich, Anthony. From Rebel to Ruler: One Hundred Years of the Chinese Communist Party. Harvard University Press, 2021.

Joe Biden n’a pas droit à l’erreur

Haass, Richard, Joseph Nye, Célestin Monga, and Ian Buruma. "Joe Biden n’a pas droit à l’erreur." SAY 22.4 (July 2021): 94.

The G20 and the World Economy: Performance and Prospects

Jorgenson, Dale W., and Khuong M. Vu. "The G20 and the World Economy: Performance and Prospects." Journal of Policy Modeling 43.4 (July/August 2021): 770-782.

The Dangerous Appeal of Tech

Jasanoff, Sheila. "The Dangerous Appeal of Tech." MIT Technology Review 124.4 (July/August 2021): 16-17.

Maxims for Thinking Analytically: The Wisdom of Legendary Harvard Professor Richard Zeckhauser

Levy, Dan. Maxims for Thinking Analytically: The Wisdom of Legendary Harvard Professor Richard Zeckhauser. Dan Levy, 2021.

Water, Health and Wealth: The Impact of Piped Water Outages on Disease Prevalence and Financial Transactions in Zambia

Ashraf, Nava, Edward Glaeser, Abraham Holland, and Bryce Millett Steinberg. "Water, Health and Wealth: The Impact of Piped Water Outages on Disease Prevalence and Financial Transactions in Zambia." Economica 88.351 (July 2021): 755-781.

Retirement decisions in a changing labor market

Clark, Robert L., and Joseph P. Newhouse. "Retirement decisions in a changing labor market." Journal of Pension Economics & Finance 20.3 (July 2021): 337-340.

The Power of Perception: Limitations of Information in Reducing Air Pollution Exposure

Hanna, Rema, Bridget Hoffmann, Paulina Oliva, and Jake Schneider. "The Power of Perception: Limitations of Information in Reducing Air Pollution Exposure." IDB Working Paper Series, July 2021.

Place-specific determinants of income gaps: New sub-national evidence from Mexico

Hausmann, Ricardo, Carlo Pietrobelli, and Miguel Angel Santos. "Place-specific determinants of income gaps: New sub-national evidence from Mexico." Journal of Business Research 131 (July 2021): 782-792.

COVID-19 and Informal Work: Distinct Pathways of Impact and Recovery in 11 Cities Around the World

Chen, Martha, Erofili Grapsa, Ghida Ismail, Mike Rogan, and Marcela Valdivia. "COVID-19 and Informal Work: Distinct Pathways of Impact and Recovery in 11 Cities Around the World." Women in Informal Employment: Globalizing and Organizing (WIEGO), July 2021.

Early Career Workers in the Service Sector

Harknett, Kristen, Daniel Schneider, and Adam Storer. "Early Career Workers in the Service Sector." Shift Project Research Brief, July 2021.

Doctors' and Nurses' Social Media Ads Reduced Holiday Travel and COVID-19 Infections: A Cluster Randomized Controlled Trial

Breza, Emily, Fatima Cody Stanford, Marcella Alsan, Burak Alsan, Abhijit Banerjee, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Sarah Eichmeyer, Traci Glushko, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Kelly Holland, Emily Hoppe, Mohit Karnani, Sarah Liegl, Tristan Loisel, Lucy Ogbu-Nwobodo, Benjamin A. Olken, Carlos Torres, Pierre-Luc Vautrey, Erica Warner, Susan Wootton, and Esther Duflo. "Doctors' and Nurses' Social Media Ads Reduced Holiday Travel and COVID-19 Infections: A Cluster Randomized Controlled Trial." NBER Working Paper Series, July 2021.

Do Independent and Parallel Processing Physicians Influence Each Other's Performance? Evidence from the Emergency Department

Saghafian, Soroush, Raha Imanirad, and Stephen J. Traub. "Do Independent and Parallel Processing Physicians Influence Each Other's Performance? Evidence from the Emergency Department." vlog Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-018, June 2021.

Men and Women Candidates Are Similarly Persistent After Losing Elections

Bernhard, Rachel, and Justin de Benedictis Kessner. "Men and Women Candidates Are Similarly Persistent After Losing Elections." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118.26 (June 29, 2021).

America’s False Imbalance Syndrome

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "America’s False Imbalance Syndrome." The Project Syndicate, June 2021.

How much could article 6 enhance nationally determined contribution ambition toward paris agreement goals through economic efficiency?

Edmonds, James, Sha Yu, Haewon Mcjeon, Dirk Forrister, Joseph Aldy, Nathan Hultman, Ryna Cui, Stephanie Waldhoff, Leon Clarke, Stefano de Clara, and Clayton Munnings. "How much could article 6 enhance nationally determined contribution ambition toward paris agreement goals through economic efficiency?" Climate Change Economics 12.2 (2021).

'Reopening Hesitancy' Threatens Fall 2021.

Peterson, Paul E. "'Reopening Hesitancy' Threatens Fall 2021." Education Next 21.3 (Summer 2021): 76-78.

School Choice and 'The Truly Disadvantaged': Vouchers boost college going, but not for students in greatest need.

Cheng, Albert, and Paul E. Peterson. "School Choice and 'The Truly Disadvantaged': Vouchers boost college going, but not for students in greatest need." Education Next 21.3 (Summer 2021): 52-59.

Advice and Caution on Investing in a College Education: An economist and a financial journalist offer their strategies.

Avery, Christopher. "Advice and Caution on Investing in a College Education: An economist and a financial journalist offer their strategies." Review of Making College Pay: An Economist Explains How to Make a Smart Bet on Higher Education by Beth Akers, and The Price You Pay for College: An Entirely New Road Map for the Biggest Financial Decision Your Family Will Ever Make by Ron Lieber, by Beth Akers. Education Next, 21.3, Summer 2021.