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Man in bright orange vest and hard hat working at manufacturing plant.
Feature: Is the U.S. Undergoing a Manufacturing Renaissance?

Robert Lawrence finds little evidence of a renaissance in U.S. manufacturing as of July 2024, with only modest growth projected over the next few years.

Two people talking while sitting in front of a body of water.
Feature: Reducing Antidemocratic Attitudes & Partisan Animosity

Julia Minson conducts a megastudy testing 25 treatments for reducing partisan division and improving democratic attitudes.

Globe with Africa centered sitting on a piece of pink construction paper.
Feature: 10 Foreign-Policy Implications of the U.S. Election

Stephen Walt hypothesizes the foreign-policy implications of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, including impacts on trade, Europe, Ukraine, and the Middle East.

Computer screen displaying an algorithm.
Feature: Racial Bias in Clinical & Population Health Algorithms

Sharad Goel critically examines seven prominent and controversial healthcare algorithms, demonstrating that popular approaches to improve algorithmic fairness can worsen outcomes for everyone.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Anti-Roma Racism is Spiraling during COVID-19 Pandemic

Matache, Margareta, and Jacqueline Bhabha. "Anti-Roma Racism is Spiraling during COVID-19 Pandemic." Health and Human Rights 22.1 (June 2020): 379–382.

Goals Gone Wild: The Systematic Side Effects of Overprescribing Goal Setting

Ordóñez, Lisa, Maurice Schweitzer, Adam Galinsky, and Max Bazerman. "Goals Gone Wild: The Systematic Side Effects of Overprescribing Goal Setting." Organizational Collaboration. Routledge, 2020, 21-34.

The Power of Experiments: Decision Making in a Data-Driven World

Luca, Michael, and Max Bazerman. The Power of Experiments: Decision Making in a Data-Driven World. MIT Press, 2020.

China's Most Generous: Examining Trends in Contemporary Chinese Philanthropy

Cunningham, Edward, and Yunxin Li. "China's Most Generous: Examining Trends in Contemporary Chinese Philanthropy." 2020.

Business Reopening Decisions and Demand Forecasts During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Balla-Elliott, Dylan, Zoe Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, and Christopher Stanton. "Business Reopening Decisions and Demand Forecasts During the COVID-19 Pandemic." June 2020.

Effective Labor Supply and Growth Outlook in China

Cao, Jing, Mun S. Ho, Wenhao Hu, and Dale Jorgenson. "Effective Labor Supply and Growth Outlook in China." China Economic Review 61 (June 2020): 101398.

Estimating Flexible Consumption Functions for Urban and Rural Households in China

Cao, Jing, Mun S. Ho, Wenhao Hu, and Dale Jorgenson. "Estimating Flexible Consumption Functions for Urban and Rural Households in China." China Economic Review 61 (June 2020).

Crisis Management for Leaders Coping with COVID-19

Leonard, Herman B., Arnold M. Howitt, and David W. Giles. "Crisis Management for Leaders Coping with COVID-19." 2020.

Bad Credit, No Problem? Credit and Labor Market Consequences of Bad Credit Reports

Dobbie, Will, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Neale Mahoney, and Jae Song. "Bad Credit, No Problem? Credit and Labor Market Consequences of Bad Credit Reports." Journal of Finance 75.5 (June 2020): 2377-2419.

Smart Development Banks

Fernández-Arias, Eduardo, Ricardo Hausmann, and Ugo Panizza. "Smart Development Banks." Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade 20.2 (June 2020): 395-420.

In Generous Offers I Trust: The Effect of First-Offer Value on Economically Vulnerable Behaviors

Jeong, Martha, Julia Minson, and Francesca Gino. "In Generous Offers I Trust: The Effect of First-Offer Value on Economically Vulnerable Behaviors." Psychological Science 31.6 (June 2020): 644-653.

Working in the Service Sector in New Jersey

Schneider, Daniel, Kristen Harknett, and Megan Collins. "Working in the Service Sector in New Jersey." Shift Project Research Brief, 2020.

Essential Changes Needed for Essential Workers: Job Quality for California's Service Sectors

Schneider, Daniel, Kristen Harknett. "Essential Changes Needed for Essential Workers: Job Quality for California's Service Sectors." Shift Project/Irvine Foundation Research Brief, 2020.

Essential and Vulnerable: Service-Sector Workers and Paid Sick Leave

Schneider, Daniel, and Kristen Harknett. "Essential and Vulnerable: Service-Sector Workers and Paid Sick Leave." Shift Project Research Brief, 2020.

Situational Brief: Transit Migration in Mexico During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Sedas, Ana Cristina, Mercedes Aguerrebere, Luis Alberto Martinez Juarez, Luis Eduardo Zavala-deAlba, Itzel Eguiluz, and Jacqueline Bhabha. "Situational Brief: Transit Migration in Mexico During the COVID-19 Pandemic." May 2020.

Incentives for Organizational Participation: A Recruitment Experiment in Mexico

Palmer-Rubin, Brian, Candelaria Garay and Mathias Poertner. "Incentives for Organizational Participation: A Recruitment Experiment in Mexico." Comparative Political Studies (May 26, 2020).

A Public Health Approach to Negative News Media: The 3-to-1 Solution

VanderWeele, Tyler J., and Arthur C. Brooks. "A Public Health Approach to Negative News Media: The 3-to-1 Solution." American Journal of Health Promotion (May 2020).

Could China's Digital Currency Unseat the Dollar?

Kumar, Aditi, and Eric Rosenbach. "Could China's Digital Currency Unseat the Dollar?" Foreign Affairs. May 20, 2020.

Estimating Impacts and Trade-offs in Solar Geoengineering Scenarios With a Moist Energy Balance Model

Lutsko, Nicholas J., Jacob T. Seeley, and David W. Keith. "Estimating Impacts and Trade-offs in Solar Geoengineering Scenarios With a Moist Energy Balance Model." Geophysical Research Letters 47.9 (May 2020).

National Fiscal Policies to Fight Recessions in US States

Dynan, Karen, and Douglas Elmendorf. "National Fiscal Policies to Fight Recessions in US States." AEA Papers and Proceedings 110 (May 2020): 131-136.

Measuring Racial Discrimination in Bail Decisions

Arnold, David, Will S. Dobbie, and Peter Hull. "Measuring Racial Discrimination in Bail Decisions." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-014, May 2020.

Public Procurement in Law and Practice

Bosio, Erica, Simeon Djankov, Edward L. Glaeser, and Andrei Shleifer. "Public Procurement in Law and Practice." National Bureau of Economic Research, May 2020.

Overcoming the Small-N Problem

Bohnet, Iris, and Siri Chilazi. "Overcoming the Small-N Problem." University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Center for Employment Equity, May 2020.

Why is the Euro Punching Below Its Weight?

Ilzetzki, Ethan, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "Why is the Euro Punching Below Its Weight?" ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-013, May 2020.

How Are Small Businesses Adjusting to COVID-19? Early Evidence from a Survey

Bartik, Alexander W., Marianne Bertrand, Zoë B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, and Christopher T. Stanton. "How Are Small Businesses Adjusting to COVID-19? Early Evidence from a Survey." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-012, May 2020.

Plasmid-Mediated Antibiotic Resistance Among Uropathogens in Primigravid Women—Hyderabad, India

Kammili, Nagamani, Manisha Rani, Ashley Styczynski, Madhavi Iatha, Panduranga Rao Pavuluri, Vishnuvardhan Reddy, and Marcella Alsan. "Plasmid-Mediated Antibiotic Resistance Among Uropathogens in Primigravid Women—Hyderabad, India." PLOS One 15.5 (May 2020): e0232710.

COVID-19: What Intervention Policies Are Most Effective? A Brief Report Using Data from Government of Bahrain

Boloori, Alireza, and Soroush Saghafian. "COVID-19: What Intervention Policies Are Most Effective? A Brief Report Using Data from Government of Bahrain." ÌÇÐÄvlog¹ÙÍø Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-011, May 2020.

Searching for Work with a Criminal Record

Smith, Sandra Susan, and Nora Broege. "Searching for Work with a Criminal Record." Social Problems 67.2 (May 2020): 208-232.

Covid Economics: Policy Implications of Models of the Spread of Coronavirus: Perspectives and Opportunities for Economists

Avery, Christopher, Sara F. Ellison, William Bossert, Adam Thomas Cook, and Glenn Ellison. "Covid Economics: Policy Implications of Models of the Spread of Coronavirus: Perspectives and Opportunities for Economists." CEPR Press (May 2020): 21-68.

Recommendations for the National Strategic Pandemic Stockpile

Holdren, John P., Christine Cassel, Chris Chyba, Susan Graham, Eric Lander, Ed Penhoet, William Press, Maxine Savitz, and Harold Varmus. "Recommendations for the National Strategic Pandemic Stockpile." May 2020.

Understanding Misinformation on Mobile Instant Messengers (MIMs) in Developing Countries

Pasquetto, Irene V., Eaman Jahani, Alla Baranovsky, and Matthew A. Baum. "Understanding Misinformation on Mobile Instant Messengers (MIMs) in Developing Countries." May 2020.

National Fiscal Policies to Fight Recessions in US States

Dynan, Karen, and Douglas Elmendorf. "National Fiscal Policies to Fight Recessions in US States." AEA Papers and Proceedings 110 (May 2020): 131-136.

The Federal Fisc

Dynan, Karen, and Douglas Elmendorf. "The Federal Fisc." Harvard Magazine. May-June 2020.

(Sex) Crime and Punishment in the #MeToo Era: How the Public Views Rape

Schwarz, Susanne, Matthew A. Baum, and Dara Kay Cohen. "(Sex) Crime and Punishment in the #MeToo Era: How the Public Views Rape." Political Behavior (May 2020).

The Price of Biodiesel RINs and Economic Fundamentals

Irwin, Scott H., Kristen McCormack, and James H. Stock. "The Price of Biodiesel RINs and Economic Fundamentals." American Journal of Agricultural Economics 102.3 (May 2020): 734-752.

The Impact of Medicare’s Mental Health Cost-Sharing Parity on Use of Mental Health Care Services: An Assessment of Whether Medicare Cost-Sharing Reductions for Outpatient Mental Health Services Was As

Cook, Benjamin Lê, Michael Flores, Samuel H. Zuvekas, Joseph P. Newhouse, John Hsu, Rajan Sonik, Esther Lee, and Vicki Fung. "The Impact of Medicare’s Mental Health Cost-Sharing Parity on Use of Mental Health Care Services: An Assessment of Whether Medicare Cost-Sharing Reductions for Outpatient Mental Health Services Was Associated with Changes in Mental Care Visits to Physicians and Psychotropic Medication Fills." Health Affairs 39.5 (May 2020): 819-827.

Reopening Scenarios

Baqaee, David, Emmanuel Farhi, Michael J. Mina, and James H. Stock. "Reopening Scenarios." National Bureau of Economic Research, May 2020.

Measuring the Macroeconomic Impact of Carbon Taxes

Metcalf, Gilbert E., and James H. Stock. "Measuring the Macroeconomic Impact of Carbon Taxes." AEA Papers and Proceedings 10 (May 2020): 101-106.

The Cost-Effectiveness Implications of Carbon Price Certainty

Aldy, Joseph E., and Sarah Armitage. "The Cost-Effectiveness Implications of Carbon Price Certainty." AEA Papers and Proceedings 110 (May 2020): 113-18.

Team Players: How Social Skills Improve Group Performance

Weidmann, Ben, and David J. Deming. "Team Players: How Social Skills Improve Group Performance." National Bureau of Economic Research, May 2020.

Simplification and Defaults Affect Adoption and Impact of Technology, but Decision Makers do not Realize It

Bergman, Peter, Jessica Lasky-Fink, and Todd Rogers. "Simplification and Defaults Affect Adoption and Impact of Technology, but Decision Makers do not Realize It." Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 158 (May 2020): 66-79.

Big Potential, Big Risks? Indian Capitalism, Economic Reform and Populism in the BJP Era

Chandra, Rohit, and Michael Walton. "Big Potential, Big Risks? Indian Capitalism, Economic Reform and Populism in the BJP Era." India Review 19.2 (May 2020): 176-205.

Valuing Education and Learning in the National Parks

Marlowe, Tim, Linda J. Bilmes, and John Loomis. "Valuing Education and Learning in the National Parks." America's Largest Classroom. Ed. Jessica L. Thompson. University of California Press, 2020.

The Cost-Effectiveness Implications of Carbon Price Certainty

Aldy, Joseph, and Sarah Armitage. "The Cost-Effectiveness Implications of Carbon Price Certainty." American Economic Association Papers and Proceedings 110 (May 2020): 113-118.

Dissecting the US Treasury Department’s Round 1 Allocations of CARES Act COVID-19 Relief Funding for Tribal Governments

Akee, Randall K.Q., Eric C. Henson, Miriam R. Jorgensen, and Joseph P. Kalt. "Dissecting the US Treasury Department’s Round 1 Allocations of CARES Act COVID-19 Relief Funding for Tribal Governments." May 2020.

Almost Over: Aging, Dying, Dead

Kamm, Frances. Almost Over: Aging, Dying, Dead. Oxford University Press, 2020.

The Upswing: How America Came Together a Century Ago and how We Can Do it Again

Putnam, Robert D. The Upswing: How America Came Together a Century Ago and how We Can Do it Again. Simon & Schuster, 2020.

Identifying Sources of Inefficiency in Healthcare

Chandra, Amitabh, and Douglas O. Staiger. "Identifying Sources of Inefficiency in Healthcare." The Quarterly Journal of Economics 135.2 (May 2020): 785–843.

Tradability and the Labor-Market Impact of Immigration: Theory and Evidence From the United States

Burstein, Ariel, Gordon Hanson, Lin Tian, and Jonathan Vogel. "Tradability and the Labor-Market Impact of Immigration: Theory and Evidence From the United States." Econometrica 88.3 (May 2020): 1071-1112.

Constitutionalism at the Nexus of Life and Law

Hurlbut, J. Benjamin, Sheila Jasanoff, and Krishanu Saha. "Constitutionalism at the Nexus of Life and Law." Science, Technology, & Human Values (May 2020).